Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 31, 1999Kalkaska County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 31, 1999, 2:13 AM EDT for Kalkaska County, Michigan. It was in force for 77 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 31, 1999, 2:13 AM EDT (06:13 UTC)
Expired: Jul 31, 1999, 3:30 AM EDT
In force: 77 min
Issued by: NWS Gaylord, MI
Area: Whole counties

County Kalkaska County, MI

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 31, 3:20 AM EDT	Thunderstorm Wind 50	Kalkaska, MI	Trees down.
Jul 31, 3:40 AM EDT	Thunderstorm Wind 50	Darragh, MI	Trees down.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 31, 12:00 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 753 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -173 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1902 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 6.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KAPX 310615 RRA
SVRAPN
MIC079-310730-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
213 AM EDT SAT JUL 31 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  KALKASKA COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 330 AM EDT

* AT 212 AM EDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  AN AREA OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN GRAND TRAVERSE
  COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REACH...
  BARKER CREEK AROUND 245 AM EDT
  RAPID CITY AROUND 245 AM EDT
  SOUTH BOARDMAN AROUND 250 AM EDT
  KALKASKA AROUND 255 AM EDT

DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GTROUND
LIGHTNING CAN RESULT FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. PERSONS IN AND NEAR
THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN INDOORS AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM
HAS PASSED.

HURLEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 31, 12:10 AM EDT, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 12:10 AM EDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1210 AM EDT SAT JUL 31 1999

WILL UPDATE ALL ZONES TO HEADLINE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN
EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT. GIVEN UPSTREAM COVERAGE OF TSTMS AND HIGH
PWAT...WILL GO WITH CATEGORICAL POPS AND WILL MENTION HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE ALL SECTIONS.

.APX...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALL COUNTIES UNTIL 5 AM EDT.

ROWLEY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 11:57 PM EDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before

MIZ008-015>036-041-042-310900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1157 PM EDT FRI JUL 30 1999

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
EFFECTIVE THROUGH 500 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

IN UPPER MICHIGAN

   ...CHIPPEWA... MACKINAC

IN LOWER MICHIGAN

   ...EMMET... CHEBOYGAN... PRESQUE ISLE... CHARLEVOIX... LEELANAU
   ...ANTRIM... OTSEGO... MONTMORENCY... ALPENA... BENZIE
   ...GRAND TRAVERSE... KALKASKA... CRAWFORD... OSCODA... ALCONA
   ...MANISTEE... WEXFORD... MISSAUKEE... ROSCOMMON... OGEMAW... IOSCO
   ...GLADWIN... ARENAC

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN TO EASTERN WISCONSIN AT MIDNIGHT WILL MOVE EAST AROUND
30 MPH AND REACH A SAULT STE MARIE TO CHARLEVOIX TO TRAVERSE CITY LINE
BETWEEN 200 AND 400 AM. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN CONTINUE EAST
AND AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN TOWARD DAYBREAK.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FROM THESE SQUALL LINE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER AND LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL
RADIO...OR TELEVISION FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

HURLEY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 31, 12:08 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Mackinac	62 min
Jul 31, 1:21 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Chippewa	94 min
Jul 31, 1:34 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	APX	Mackinac	3 hr
Jul 31, 1:42 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Leelanau	63 min
Jul 31, 2:08 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Charlevoix, Emmet	82 min
Jul 31, 2:08 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Antrim	82 min
Jul 31, 2:11 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Grand Traverse	64 min
Jul 31, 2:27 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Cheboygan, Crawford, Otsego	78 min
Jul 31, 2:50 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Montmorency, Presque Isle	75 min
Jul 31, 2:50 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Mackinac	60 min
Jul 31, 3:06 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Chippewa	69 min
Jul 31, 3:18 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Wexford	37 min
Jul 31, 3:23 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Missaukee	47 min
Jul 31, 3:31 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Kalkaska	44 min
Jul 31, 3:41 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Crawford	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 1999 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.