Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Albany, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
200 PM THU SEPT 16 1999

.DISC...
NGM/ETA FURTHR W WITH FLOYD ON 12Z RUNS. SFC OBS SHW OLD FNT WELL
DEFINED N OF CNTR WITH 70-75 DP TROPICAL AIR TO ITS E ACRS CNTRL/SRN
DE AND SE HLF NJ. THIS MAY BE INDICATIVE OF TRACK NR OR EVEN JUST W
OF MORE WWD MODEL FCSTS IN SHORT TERM (3-6 HRS). FNT BENDS EWD S OF
LONG ISLAND SO A MORE ENE TO NE TURN IS LKLY EVENTLY. FRTHR W TRACK
THRU 00Z WL KEEP HVY RA THREAT GOING. NO CHNGS IN FFA ANTICIPATED.
WHILE FFG GUIDNC LOOKS HI...5-7 IN RA NEEDED FOR FLOODG...GIVEN DRY
CONDS THIS SUMMER WE SHUD BE ABLE TO TAKE A LOT. HRCN GLORIA PRODUCED
5+ IN RA WHEN IT PASSED W/O MUCH OF ANY FLOODG.

WITH FURTHR W TRACK LKLY...CONCERN GROWS FOR WIND PROBLEMS. LOW LVL
INVERSION WL KEEP MUCH OF STG WINDS FM MIXING DOWN TO VLY AREAS.
NGM/ETA FCSTG 40-50 KT WIND IN 925-900 MB LYR ACRS CTSKLS. WITH
SATURATED GROUND WINDS BLO HW CRITERIA CUD BRNG DOWN TREES. LTG
DETECTION SYS ALSO SHOWG CONVECTIVE ACTVTY SE NY WHICH CUD SERVE AS A
MECHANISM FOR MIXING DOWN STG WINDS. OPTIONS ARE MULTIPLE. CUD
JUSTIFY HWW WATCH/WARNING OR EVEN AN ADVSRY. WL OPT FOR HW WATCH AND
RESTRICT WATCH TO SRN CTSKLS...HI TRRN OF ERN COL AND DUT CTY AND
LITCHFIELD CTY.

STAFF HAS BEEN TRYING TO CONTINUOUSLY EVALUATE 88D PRECIP PRODUCT
ACCURACY. WE ARE IN TROPICAL Z-R MODE...BUT HAV NOTICED BRIGHT BAND
CONTAMINATION BLO 12 K FT FREEZG LVL. BOTTOM LINE IS INCONSISTENCY.
LOOKS LIKE OVERESTIMATG ON OUTER EDGES WHR BRGT BAND PROBLEMS....GOOD
NEAR RADAR AND UNDERESTIMATING IN BETWEEN.

.ALY...FLOOD WATCH...UNTIL NOON FRIDAY...FOR ALL AREAS
EXCEPT...EXCEPT...EXCEPT...NYZ032-033-038-039-040-042.

HI WIND WATCH THRU TONIGHT...NYZ058-063-061-066-MAZ001-CTZ001-

NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK
TROOP F
0355PM     THU SEP 16 1999
FULS WLSR
02236    FILE 28   ULSTER POLICE DEPT NY0559500              SEP 16-99
TO       ATTN ULSTER COUNTY AGENCIES

     ALL AGENCIES BE ADVISED THAT ULSTERLANDING RD IN BETWEEN CASTAWAY LN AND
THE ULSTER COUNTY PARK IS CLOSED DUE TO A TREE ACROSS THE ROADWAY.  EAST
KINGSTON FIRE DEPARTMENT ON THE SCENE AT THIS TIME AWAITING THE ARRIVAL OF
CENTRAL HUDSON

REFER TO UPD BE# UL-011275-99

AUTH SGT MATTHEW A TAGGARD                       1554HRS
OPER - GRAMOGLIA,JAMES P              1554