Tornado Warning 14, NWS Wakefield, VA

WAKEFIELD FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
325 PM EDT WED AUG 11 1999

RADAR NOW SHOWING FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVLOPING OVER NORTHERN NECK
AND NE NC. STRONG TSTRMS HAVE PERSISTED OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OFF
THE EASTERN SHORE ALL DAY. SOME DRIER AIR HAS MIXED DOWN OVER INLAND
COUNTIES OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY...WITH SFC DEWPTS NOW IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S. MOST UNSTABLE AIR WAS OVER NE NC AND ERN VA AND MD...WITH
DEWPTS IN THE UPPER 70S.

WITH DRIER AIR OVER WRN COUNTIES...CHCS NOW RELATVIELY SLIM THERE FOR
ANY MAJOR DEVELOPMENT. WILL WAIT TIL LAST MINUTE TO LOOK AT RADAR TRENDS
TO SEE IF 20 POP NEEDED OVER INLAND COUNTIES FOR WIDELY SCT ACTIVITY
WITH LEE TROF. STILL CHANCE OF ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS OVER NE NC AND SE
VA IN MOIST UNSTABLE AMS...ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FM OFFSHORE
CONVECTION AND ALONG CU LINES/BOUNDARIES SHOWING UP ON VISIBLE IMAGERY.
WL THEREFORE CONTINUE TO CARRY CHC POPS INTO THE EVENING OVER ERN
SECTIONS.

MODELS NOW STALLING OUT SFC TROF AND WASHING IT OUT OVER CENTRAL VA
TONIGHT AND THU. THURS NOT MUCH DIFFERENT THAN TODAY WXWISE WITH LITTLE
OR NO AMS CHANGE. SLY WINDS PICK UP AGAIN BY FRI...WITH DEWPTS RISING
INTO THE 70S EVERYWHERE...AND TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. FWC/S HAVE
79 DEWPTS AT ECG ON FRI. CAN SEE HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 105 AND COULD
APPROACH HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA SRN ZONES BY FRI. DESPITE HIGH
DEWPTS...LITTLE TO TRIGGER TSTRMS THU AND FRI AND WILL NOT MAKE ANY
MENTION OF POPS BEYOND THIS EVENING.

EXTENDED MODELS SUGGEST MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TO MOVE OVER AREA
SAT INTO SUN...SO COULD HAVE OUR BEST CHC OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN A
WHILE OVER THE WEEKEND.

CWF...BOUY 44009 CONTINUING TO SHOWING SCA THRESHOLDS MET FOR WINDS AND
SEAS. WL KEEP FLAGS FOR NRN ATLC WATERS FOR THE EVENING.

.AKQ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...ATCL COASTAL WATERS FM FENWICK ISLAND DE
TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT

REILLY

STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
500 PM EDT WED AUG 11 1999

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0435 PM    CHESAPEAKE                VA   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/11/99   CHESAPEAKE                     REPORTED IN THE GREENBRIER
                                          SECTION OF CHESAPEAKE

0435 PM    CHESAPEAKE                VA   WIND DAMAGE
08/11/99   CHESAPEAKE                     TREE FELL ON CAR IN
                                          GREENBRIER SECTION OF
                                          CHESAPEAKE

38

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