Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
300 PM MDT SUN AUG 8 1999

DECENT EAST WIND AT CQC HAS PERSISTED...INDICATIVE OF LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG CENTRAL MOUNTAINS FROM NORTHERN SACRAMENTOS TO
SANGRE DE CRISTOS AND THIS REFLECTED BY INCREASED CONVECTION TODAY
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND NE WITH MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION OTHER
MOUNTAIN AREAS. THINK EAST CANYON WINDS INTO RIO GRANDE VALLEY
TONIGHT GOOD BET WITH BULK OF CONVECTION EAST. CANT RULE OUT
EVENING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF RIO
GRANDE...DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. SHOULD BE MOISTURE IMPORT AT LOW
LEVELS WITH CONVERGENCE ALONG CONTINENTAL DIVIDE MONDAY. THIS WILL
COMBINE WITH INCREASED TROPICAL CONNECTION ADVERTISED BY ETA/NGM TO
SHIFT MAX POPS TO CENTRAL AND WEST MON...CONTINUING TUE. TEMPS DOWN
A LITTLE THESE AREAS AS WELL DUE TO INCREASED CLOUDS/SHOWERS. SOME
DRIFT TOWARDS NERN PLAINS FOR SCATTERED TYPE POPS THERE WHILE SERN
CRNR STILL MOST AFFECTED BY SUPPRESSIVE POWER OF UPPER RIDGE FOR
LOWEST POPS...SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOUNTAIN STORMS HOLDING TOGETHER
LONG ENOUGH TO AFFECT PLAINS LOCALES. WILL KEEP THE FAITH IN
EXTENDED...STRONG SHORTWAVE DRAGGING COASTAL UPPER LOW NORTHEAST BY
MIDWEEK...BRINGING WESTERLIES AND DRYING TO NORTHERN AND WESTERN NM
WITH TEMPS WARMING AGAIN. MJF

ABQ BB 066/088 065/086 065 32334
SAF BB 057/084 057/082 056 32444
TCC BB 066/090 066/093 066 32312

.ABQ...NONE