Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 10, 1998Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 10, 1998, 7:53 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 1998, 7:53 PM MST (02:53 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 1998, 8:55 PM MST
In force
62 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties

County Cochise County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 1998-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 170 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 1998-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 9 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
170 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3745 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUS 110256
FFWTUS
AZC003-110355-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
753 PM MST FRI JUL 10 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN COCHISE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 855 PM MST

* AT 750 PM MST... THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN JUST NORTH
AND WEST OF WILLCOX NEAR INTERSTATE 10 CONTINUE AND SHOW ONLY
SLOW NORTHEAST MOVEMENT.

COCHISE COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT INDICATED FLOODING AT APACHE PASS
JUST NORTH OF WILLCOX.

ALTHOUGH THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKENED...VERY HEAVY RAIN
CONTINUES IN THE AREA OF THE WINCHESTER MOUTAINS AND VICINITY OF
WILLCOX.  FLASH FLOODING IS STILL EXPELCTED IN THE AREA.

  DRB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 10, 2:15 PM MST, 5 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 2:15 PM MST, 5 hours 38 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
215 PM MST FRI JUL 10 1998

SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND WESTWARD INTO NORTHWEST
MEXICO AND ARIZONA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WITH A CONTINUED THREAT OF
ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

DISCUSSION...MONSOON SLOWS TO A CRAWL FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS OR SO AS
A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM TEXAS AND SQUEEZES OFF SOME OF THE MOISTURE.
WE'LL KEEP ENOUGH AROUND FOR A FEW BUILDUPS AND STORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS...BUT WILL STRUGGLE TO SUSTAIN ANY SIGNIFICANT VALLEY
ACTIVITY. COMBINATION OF STRONG HEIGHT INCREASES WITH LOWER MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL ALLOW STRONG WARMING. WE'LL NEED SOME HELP FROM MEXICO
IN THE FORM OF OUTFLOWS FROM ORGANIZED CONVECTION OR SOME KIND OF
SURGE IF WE ARE TO BREAK OUT OF THIS QUICKLY. WILL GO AHEAD AND KEEP
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EXTENDED. MEYER TUS 111.

.TWC...NONE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 6:54 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise61 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.