Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1998

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 15, 1998Benton County, Carroll County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 15, 1998, 6:31 PM CDT for Benton County, Carroll County, Arkansas. It was in force for 59 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 1998, 6:31 PM CDT (23:31 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 1998, 7:30 PM CDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties

Counties Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 15, 6:50 PM CDTHail 0.75Eureka Spgs, AR

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 15, 6:15 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1998-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 557 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1998-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 280 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
557 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
846 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
280 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
315 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
4.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

909 
WUUS54 KTSA 152333 RRA
SVRTUL
ARC007-015-160030-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
631 PM CDT WED APR 15 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
  WESTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 630 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM JUST NORTH OF SEDALIA... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
  MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...
  BEAVER
  HOLIDAY ISLAND
  EUREKA SPRINGS

  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 CAN BE EXPECTED IN
  THE WARNED AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP SUDDENLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 15, 3:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 3:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
FPUS3 KTUL 152049
AFDTUL

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
345 PM CDT WED APR 15 1998

WK FRONT HAS STALLED JUST TO E AND S OF TUL THIS AFTN. SHRS AND ISLD
TSTMS HV DEVELOPED MAINLY SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY AND THEY WERE MOVG
RAPIDLY NE. WINDS OVER SE OK AND WC AR HV BACKED A LTL DURING THE
AFTN AND AS WAVE DEVELOPS AND MOVS ALG FRONT THIS EVENING MAY STILL
SEE A FEW STG/SVR STORMS IN THIS AREA. NGM AND AVN BOTH SHOW VERY
HIGH POPS TONIGHT OVER NRN SECTIONS OF FA. WL MAINTAIN CHC POPS NR
THE FRONT TONIGHT AND WL ALSO LKLY INCLUDE POPS FOR NRN SECTIONS BUT
NOT THE 70-80 POPS MOS IS INDICATING.

MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MAIN FEATURES AND HV GENERALLY
FOLLOWED THE ETA/AVN SOLUTION. AREA TO RMN IN SWLY FLOW WITH IMPULSES
EJECTING OUT THRU THURSDAY. ETA KEEPS MOST PRECIP N OF FA DURING DAY
ON THURSDAY BUT WL INCLUDE SLGT CHC POPS MOST AREAS. WITH CYCLONIC
FLOW CLDS WL PROBABLY BE SLOW TO CLR...BUT SHUD DECREASE DURING THE
DAY ON FRIDAY.

FWC AND FAN TEMPS FAIRLY CLOSE AND GENERALLY IN LINE WITH GOING FCST
PACKAGE - THUS WL STICK WITH AVN/NGM BLEND.

SMITH

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS SUBJECT TO LAST MINUTE CHANGES
TUL   53  58  40  63 /  30  20   0   0
FSM   54  65  44  64 /  40  20   0   0
MLC   55  64  43  62 /  40  20   0   0
BVO   49  54  40  61 /  30  20   0   0
FYV   52  59  40  60 /  40  20   0   0
IDB   56  68  46  64 /  40  20   0   0
BYV   52  58  40  58 /  40  20   0   0
MIO   52  56  42  60 /  40  20   0   0
MKO   53  58  43  62 /  30  20   0   0
F10   53  58  43  62 /  30  20   0   0
HHW   56  68  46  64 /  40  20   0   0

.TUL...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 15, 1:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 31 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT WED APR 15 1998

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS
AFTERNOON.  A COLD FRONT EXTENDED SOUTHWEST FROM THE LOW ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

THE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THIS FRONT HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  DEWPOINTS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAVE INCREASED INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S IN MANY
AREAS BEHIND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS.  LIFT SHOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES
SLOWLY TO THE EAST BEING AIDED BY A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM.

WITH THIS ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A MIAMI TO OKMULGEE
TO OKEMAH LINE. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 1998Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.