Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 2, 1998Pittsburg County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood warning at Jul 2, 1998, 4:46 PM CDT for Pittsburg County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 1998, 4:46 PM CDT (21:46 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 1998, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties

County Pittsburg County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 1998-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 928 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 1998-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 1 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
928 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-166 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1348 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUL 022145
FFWTUL
OKC121-030000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
446 PM CDT THU JUL 2 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* RADAR ESTIMATES 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* THE RAINFALL WAS LOCATED IN AREAS FROM SAVANNA AND PITTSBURG INTO
  THE SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE COUNTY.  THUNDE\RSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AND
  AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

DON'T DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD!

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 2, 3:55 PM CDT, 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 3:55 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
355 PM CDT THU JUL 2 1998

PROBLEM(S) OF THE DAY:
POPS
WILL THE CONVECTION BE SCATTERED OR NUMEROUS?

NW FLOW IN THE MID LEVELS TO WEAKEN EVEN MORE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO
BUT WITH WEAK WAA AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR COULD SEE ONE MORE ROUND OF
SCT CONVECTION LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. FWC POPS ACTUALLY LOOK
REASONABLE IN MOST CASES. NEXT FEATURE IS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NO
LOCATED OFF THE FAR S TX COAST.  AGREE WITH NCEP AND OTHER DISC THAT
NGM HANDLING IS POOR SO FOLLOWED ETA/AVN. BEST TIMING FOR RAINFALL
WOULD BE SAT NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MON. WITH MODELS EXCEPT NGM IN
AGREEMENT ON TIMING AND AMOUNT OF MOISTURE...HAVE MOVED POPS UP TO
LIKELY FOR SUN. PW VALUES WITH THIS SYS WILL BE QUITE HIGH...IN
EXCESS OF 2 INCHES. WLY FLOW BY TUES SHOULD REMAIN N OF THE AREA AND
UPR RIDGE AXIS LYING PARALLEL TO 35N.

FCSTID = 26
TUL   75  95  77  94 /  20  20   5  10
FSM   73  96  74  95 /  20  20   5  20
MLC   75  97  75  95 /  10  10   5  20
BVO   74  95  74  95 /  20  10   5  10
FYV   68  91  70  92 /  30  30  10  10
IDB   71  99  71  95 /  10  10   5  20
BYV   67  90  69  91 /  40  30  10  10
MIO   71  93  73  93 /  30  20  10  10
MKO   75  95  75  95 /  20  20  10  10
F10   75  96  76  95 /  10  10   5  10
HHW   74  99  74  95 /  10  10   5  20

.TUL...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

--------------------
EXPERIMENTAL OUTPUT:

SYNOPTIC PATTERN: MODERATE UPPER HIGH/RIDGE TO THE SOUTH
EXPECTED MESOSCALE PATTERN: WEAK OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
GENERAL WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS: CONVECTIVE PRECIP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS:  NONE
NGM CONFIDENCE:  5 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
ETA CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
AVN CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
FCST CONFIDENCE: 7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
MOST USEFUL TOOL: RADAR OBSERVATIONS
BEST MODEL FIELD: CONVECTIVE PRECIP.. 500 AND 700MB HEIGHTS..
MID-LEVEL WINDS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 2, 1:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT THU JUL 2 1998

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY IS PRESENT FOR ANY ONE OF
THESE STORMS TO BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...GENERALLY NORTH OF
THE ARKANSAS RIVER. WHILE WIND FIELDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD REACH
SEVERE LIMIT^S.
Special weather statement, Jul 2, 1:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT THU JUL 2 1998

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY IS PRESENT FOR ANY ONE OF
THESE STORMS TO BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...GENERALLY NORTH OF
THE ARKANSAS RIVER. WHILE WIND FIELDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD REACH
SEVERE LIMIT^S.
Local storm report, Jul 2, 3:53 PM CDT, 53 minutes before
STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA, OK
345 PM CST THU JUL 02 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0330 AM    3 NW BRISTOW              OK   2.75 INCH HAIL
07/02/98   CREEK                          BASEBALL HAIL DAMAGED
                                          SEVERAL CARS AND A HOUSE
                                          NEAR BRISTOW (REPORTED BY
                                          CREEK CO EM)
Local storm report, Jul 2, 4:20 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
420 PM CDT THU JUL 02 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0330 AM    3 NW BRISTOW              OK   2.75 INCH HAIL
07/02/98   CREEK                          REPORTED BY COUNTY EMER
                                          MNGMT
Local storm report, Jul 2, 4:45 PM CDT, 1 minute before
STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA, OK
345 PM CST THU JUL 02 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0330 AM    3 NW BRISTOW              OK   2.75 INCH HAIL
07/02/98   CREEK                          BASEBALL HAIL DAMAGED
                                          SEVERAL CARS AND A HOUSE
                                          NEAR BRISTOW (REPORTED BY
                                          CREEK CO EM)

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 3:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek41 min
Jul 2, 8:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSATulsa25 min
Jul 2, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore31 min
Jul 2, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg33 min
Jul 2, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer31 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.