Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 2, 1998Carroll County, Madison County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood warning at Jul 2, 1998, 3:00 PM CDT for Carroll County, Madison County, Arkansas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 1998, 3:00 PM CDT (20:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 1998, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties

Counties Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1998-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 144 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1998-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 1 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
144 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-145 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1146 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUL 021959
FFWTUL
ARC015-087-022215-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
300 PM CDT THU JUL 2 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
  NORTHERN AND EASTERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* RADAR ESTIMATED UP TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA.

* ALTHOUGH THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED THE HEAVY RAIN WERE
  MOVING OUT OF CARROLL AND MADISON COUNTIES...THERE MAY BE RAPID
  RISES IN CREEKS AND STREAMS. PERSONS NEAR LONG CREEK...THE WHITE
  RIVER BELOW BEAVER DAM AND ALONG THE WHITE RIVER AND ITS FEEDER
  STREAMS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY ALERT FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
  FLOODING.


MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES... DIPS... OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS IF WATER COVERS
THE ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM... EVEN A SMALL
ONE... ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. DO
NOT DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES.

AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR FLOOD CONDITIONS... AND BE PREPARED
TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND... SHOULD FLOOD WATERS THREATEN. IF FLASH
FLOODING IS OBSERVED... ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 2, 11:50 AM CDT, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 11:50 AM CDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before
FPUS3 KTUL 021650
AFDTUL

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1150 AM CDT THU JUL 2 1998

SLOW MOVING CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS FAR NE OK AND BETWEEN FYV AND
FSM. EXPECT GRADUAL CLEARING CONDTIONS SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. TEMPS
WILL AGAIN GET VERY WARM ALONG RED RIVER AND SE OK...TEMPS HAVE BEEN
ABOVE 100 FOR 2 DAYS IN A ROW AT IDB AND WORKING ON A 3RD. TWEAKED
FRI NIGHT PD BASED ON LATEST MODEL DATA AND REMOVED POPS FOR ALL BUT
NE ZONES. THINK THAT SAT WILL ALSO STAY DRY XCPT FOR SRN ZONES BUT
WILL LOOK AT THAT MORE CLOSELY IN AFT PKG. REST OF FCST LOOKS OK.

FCSTID = 26
TUL   87  73  94  75 /  20  30  20  10
FSM   90  71  94  73 /  20  20  20  10
MLC   97  73  94  75 /  20  20  20  10
BVO   87  71  94  73 /  20  30  20  10
FYV   87  68  90  70 /  30  40  30  20
IDB  100  72  96  72 /  20  20  10  10
BYV   87  68  90  70 /  30  40  30  20
MIO   85  70  92  72 /  40  40  30  20
MKO   87  73  94  75 /  20  30  20  10
F10   87  73  94  75 /  20  30  20  10
HHW  100  72  96  72 /  20  20  10  10

.TUL...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 2, 9:25 AM CDT, 5 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
925 AM CDT THU JUL 02 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0815 AM    BROKEN ARROW              OK   .75 INCH HAIL
07/02/98   TULSA                          SEVERAL SMALL LIMBS DOWN
                                          AT HAIKEY CREEK PARK
Special weather statement, Jul 2, 1:00 PM CDT, 2 hours before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT THU JUL 2 1998

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY IS PRESENT FOR ANY ONE OF
THESE STORMS TO BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...GENERALLY NORTH OF
THE ARKANSAS RIVER. WHILE WIND FIELDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD REACH
SEVERE LIMIT^S.
Special weather statement, Jul 2, 1:00 PM CDT, 2 hours before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT THU JUL 2 1998

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY IS PRESENT FOR ANY ONE OF
THESE STORMS TO BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...GENERALLY NORTH OF
THE ARKANSAS RIVER. WHILE WIND FIELDS WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD REACH
SEVERE LIMIT^S.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 12:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison25 min
Jul 2, 12:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison40 min
Jul 2, 12:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison28 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.