Flash Flood Warning 24, NWS Topeka, KS

Issued

Nov 1, 1998, 9:58 AM CST (15:58 UTC)

Expired

Nov 1, 1998, 5:00 PM CST

In force

7 hr

Issued by

NWS Topeka, KS

Area

Whole counties

Counties Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Morris County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

000 
TTAA00 KTOP 011558
FFWTOP
KSC003-031-041-045-059-061-087-111-127-139-177-197-012300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
958 AM CST SUN NOV 1 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ANDERSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  COFFEY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  DICKINSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS
  DOUGLAS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  GEARY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  JEFFERSON COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS
  LYON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  MORRIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  OSAGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  SHAWNEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  WABAUNSEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 500 PM CST

* AT 950 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND MUCH OF
  NORTHEAST KANSAS.

* DOPPLER RADAR AND SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE THAT 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
  RAIN HAS FALLEN SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.  AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO
  TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  THIS
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
  SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

DONT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD!

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION.

58

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Nov 1, 3:51 AM CST, 6 hours 7 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
351 AM CST SUN NOV 1 1998

RAIN AND FLOOD POTENTIAL MAIN FORECAST PROBLEMS.

OCCASIONAL MODERATE RAINS OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA HAVE
YIELDED TOTALS IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE BASED ON 88D ESTIMATES
THOUGH EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.  NO MAJOR WATER PROBLEMS
NOTED AS OF YET BUT SOME RIVERS WERE GETTING INTO FLOOD.

MAIN BAND OF HEAVY RAIN IS LOCATED NORTH OF 850 FRONT AS 35 TO 50KT
SOUTHERLY FLOW RIDES UP AND OVER BOUNDARY.  THIS TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT.  MODELS ARE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT IN ROTATING AXIS OF BEST FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING
ALONG THE BOUNDARY NORTHWARD TODAY.  THIS WOULD PUSH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
INTO ALL OF NORTHEAST KANSAS.  FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE ALL
BELOW 2 INCHES IN THE AREA SO EXPANDING CURRENT FLOOD WATCH
NORTHWARD IS WARRANTED.

AS SURFACE AND 850 LOWS PUSH TO THE KS/OK BORDER BY MONDAY MORNING...
BEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND FORCING SHIFTS NORTH AND EAST OF CWA.
CONVERGING Q-VECTORS IN THE 850-500MB LAYER SUGGEST RAIN IS STILL
LIKELY IN NORTHERN CWA THROUGH THE MORNING BUT INCREASING LOW LEVEL
DIVERGENCE SHOULD END HEAVY RAIN THREAT.

TEMPERATURES SHOULDN'T GO TOO FAR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ONLY
INCREASES LOOK TO BE BASED ON INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FORCING
TEMPS ONLY SLIGHTLY UPWARD.  WILL INCREASE GOING TEMP FORECAST A
CATEGORY OR TWO EACH PERIOD BASED ON EXPECTED SURFACE DEW POINT
RISES AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE CENTER.

.TOP...FLOOD WATCH TODAY AND TONIGHT ALONG AND EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF
       A LINE FROM MARYSVILLE TO ABILENE.

SD

Flash Flood Warnings in Kansas, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.