Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Warnings in 1998

Tornado Warning 65, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

September 25, 1998Polk County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this tornado warning at Sep 25, 1998, 9:52 AM EDT for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 25, 1998, 9:52 AM EDT (13:52 UTC)
Expired
Sep 25, 1998, 10:40 AM EDT
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Polk County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 74 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 1998-09-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 324 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 1998-09-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
324 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-64 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
920 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTBW 251352 RRA
TORTBW
FLC105-251440-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
952 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  POLK COUNTY IN CENTRAL FLORIDA

* UNTIL 1040 AM EDT

* AT 950 AM EDT...A TORNADO IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST CORNER OF
  POLK COUNTY...WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER
  RADAR IN RUSKIN...MOVING NORTHWEST 40 MPH.

* THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
  LAKE WALES               AROUND 1025 AM EDT

A DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED TORNADO MEANS A TORNADO MAY NOT BE
OCCURRING AT THE MOMENT...BUT WILL LIKELY DO SO DURING THE WARNING
PERIOD. TAKE COVER IN A STURDY BUILDING. MOBILE HOMES AND CARS ARE
NOT SAFE.

NASH/ZALESKI

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Sep 25, 2:55 AM EDT, 6 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 25, 2:55 AM EDT, 6 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA/RUSKIN, FL
250 AM EDT THU SEP 24 1998

CURRENTLY...PRETTY QUIET ON THE 88D. ONE E-W BAND OF SHWS OVER
THE S FA...WHICH SEEMS TO BE ON THE EXTREME NORTHERN FRINGE OF
"GEORGES". WINDS ACROSS THE FA ARE STILL RELATIVELY LIGHT...
AVERAGING 8-12KTS FROM ENE...EXCEPT HIGHER OVER THE GULF WATERS.

FCST...LATEST ADVISORIES FROM NHC BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
INTO EXTREME S FA AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING...AND BY EARLY
AFTN IN THE TPA AREA. TOO EARLY TO TELL IF THIS WILL PAN OUT...BUT
LOOKING AT LATEST 88D LOOP FROM KEY WEST SEEMS TO SHOW THAT "GEORGES"
FOLLOWING PRETTY CLOSELY TO NHC FCST SO FAR. IN FACT...STRONGER BANDS
ON N SIDE OF HURRICANE BEGINNING TO APPROACH THE KEYS.

EXPECT DETERIORATION OF CONDITIONS THRU THE DAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.
LATEST SOUNDING DATA SHOWING 30-35 KTS OF WIND AT 1K FT...AND LIKELY
TO SEE STRONGEST WINDS THIS MORNING AND AFTN AS SHWS/TSMS MIX STRONGER
WIND DOWN. WITH SFC WINDS OF ONLY 8-12KTS...HAVE PUT WIND SHEAR IN TAFS.
IF GEORGES CONTINUES TO MOVE AS FCST ON WNW TRACK...THERE WILL BE A BETTER
CHC FOR RAINFALL TOTALS TO BE LOWER THAN PREV EXPECTED. TOTALS FOR TODAY
MAY BE MORE ON ORDER OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLD HIGHER VALUES. FLOOD
WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TODAY FOR ALL OF FA. COASTAL
FLOODING SHOULD NOT BE A MAJOR PROBLEM WITH SURGE VALUES OF 5 TO 7 FT
POSSIBLE IN LEE TONIGHT...TO 3 TO 5 FT IN THE TPA AREA EARLY SAT MORNING.
IF STORM DECIDES TO MOVE MORE NNW THAN WNW...THEN STRONGER WINDS AND
HIGHER SURGES WOULD BE POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED.

SUGGEST CAT POPS TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER S FA...LIKELY CENT AND NORTH...
BECOMING CAT TONIGHT. AGAIN...FCST HINGES VERY STRONGLY ON EXACT TRACK
OF THE HURRICANE. MAYBE BEST WAY TO HANDLE WINDS TODAY WOULD BE TO
HAVE GUST VALUES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE IN THE
RESPECTIVE WARNING AREAS...BUT LOWER SUSTAINED VALUES.

MORALES

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 25, 5:42 AM EDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-252100-

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
542 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 1998

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE
COUNTIES...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR HERNANDO...PASCO...
PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...AND MANATEE COUNTIES...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR LEVY AND CITRUS
COUNTIES...
...INLAND HIGH WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SUMTER...POLK...
HARDEE...DE SOTO...AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY FOR ALL AREAS...

HURRICANE GEORGES IS CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN THIS MORNING AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST TOWARD THE FLORIDA KEYS. WINDS
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. MONITOR THE LATEST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY-RUSKIN AND ADVISORIES
FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION
CONCERNING GEORGES.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS...GEORGES WILL BRING VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...WITH
THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY OVER SOUTHWEST SECTIONS. ALL OF THE AREA
REMAINS UNDER A FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY...AND PERSONS LIVING IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO MAKE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. THIS IS A VERY SERIOUS FLOODING SITUATION.

AS WITH ALL HURRICANES...ANOTHER CONCERN WITH GEORGES IS THE RISK OF
ISOLATED TORNADOES. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE GEORGES IS A DANGEROUS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.
PREPARATIONS TO SECURE LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED.

PAYLOR
Special weather statement, Sep 25, 5:42 AM EDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-252100-

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
542 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 1998

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE
COUNTIES...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR HERNANDO...PASCO...
PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...AND MANATEE COUNTIES...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR LEVY AND CITRUS
COUNTIES...
...INLAND HIGH WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SUMTER...POLK...
HARDEE...DE SOTO...AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY FOR ALL AREAS...

HURRICANE GEORGES IS CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN THIS MORNING AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST TOWARD THE FLORIDA KEYS. WINDS
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. MONITOR THE LATEST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY-RUSKIN AND ADVISORIES
FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION
CONCERNING GEORGES.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS...GEORGES WILL BRING VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...WITH
THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY OVER SOUTHWEST SECTIONS. ALL OF THE AREA
REMAINS UNDER A FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY...AND PERSONS LIVING IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO MAKE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. THIS IS A VERY SERIOUS FLOODING SITUATION.

AS WITH ALL HURRICANES...ANOTHER CONCERN WITH GEORGES IS THE RISK OF
ISOLATED TORNADOES. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE GEORGES IS A DANGEROUS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.
PREPARATIONS TO SECURE LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED.

PAYLOR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 25, 8:59 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWPolk46 min
Sep 25, 10:40 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWPolk35 min
Sep 25, 11:46 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWPasco49 min
Sep 25, 1:12 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWPasco43 min
Sep 25, 1:21 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWPolk49 min
Sep 25, 2:20 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWDeSoto25 min
Sep 25, 2:23 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWCharlotte37 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Florida, 1998Every tornado warning in 1998Tornadoes in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.