Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
152 PM CST FRI MAR 6 1998

SATELLITE SHOWING STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER WESTERN US
WITH SUBTROPICAL JET PUSHING EASTWARD INTO EAST TEXAS.  AT THE
SURFACE...WEAK COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED OFF THE TEXAS COAST...WITH
OVERRUNNING MOISTURE AND CLOUDS CONTINUING TO STREAM IN FROM
THE GULF INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EASTWARD TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY... WITH UPPER LOW REACHING THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. AT THE SURFACE...LOW STRENGTHENING OVER COLORADO WILL
ALSO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD BRINGING A PACIFIC FRONT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS TOWARD MORNING. SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...KEEPING CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE OVER
THE AREA.  AS THE UPPER LOW AND FRONT APPROACH LATE TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND PUSH EASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.  WITH CAPES APPROACHING
1000 OVER EASTERN COUNTIES AND DECENT WIND SHEAR...MAY SEE A FEW
SEVERE STORMS IN THE MORNING.  WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL...WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER BROWNWOOD AREA
WHICH SAW DECENT RAINS THIS MORNING.  CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO CLEAR
OFF TOMORROW AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES TOMORROW
SHOULD BE A LITTLE WARMER THAN TODAY WITH THE SUN STARTING TO PEEK
THROUGH THE CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON.

ABI 046/065 65
JCT 050/070 55
SJT 048/066 53
08

TXZ049-053-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-
139-140-154-155-168>170-071415-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
222 PM CST FRI MAR 6 1998

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT...

A MOIST AND SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IS IN PLACE ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON.  A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT.  AS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM
MOVES IN...A PACIFIC FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS TOWARD MORNING.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE AREA.  WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE...MODERATE WIND SHEAR...
AND INCREASED INSTABILITY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS...A
FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.  THE BIGGEST THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
ALSO BE A THREAT...WITH ISOLATED FLOODING POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE
HEARTLAND WHERE SOIL MOISTURE IS HIGH FROM PREVIOUS RAINFALL.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

FOR THE NORTH TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT FTWSPSFTW. FOR THE CENTRAL
TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT SATSPSSAT.