Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Pueblo, CO

SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
235 AM MDT SUN MAY 24 1998

HAVE BEEN A LITTLE BUSIER THAN USUAL FOR A MID SHIFT MONITORING CONVECTION
ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY WHERE VILS FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS WERE IN THE
30S.  THESE STORMS WERE PROBABLY INITIATED DUE TO STRONG LOW LEVEL
UPSLOPE NOTED ON VAD WIND PROFILE WITH ERLY WINDS OF 30KTS IN LOWEST FEW
THOUSAND FEET AND DECENT VEERING IN THE LOW-MID LEVELS.  BELIEVE THE
STORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY EARLY MORNING AS LOWER LEVELS STABILIZE.
S/WV MOVING ACROSS UT THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO CO THIS
AFTERNOON AROUND PEAK HEATING TIME ALTHOUGH THE S/WV IS PROGGED TO
WEAKEN DURING THE DAY.  LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PLENTIFUL ACROSS SE PLAINS
WITH DEWPOINTS EXPECTED TO HOLD IN THE 40S-LOWER 50S THRU THE DAY AS
A SFC/850 MB LOW DEVELOPS OVER ERN NM/W TX THIS AFTERNOON HELPING TO
KEEP UPSLOPE GOING.  WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES PROGGED AS WELL AS 850/700 MB
THETA-E AXIS OVER SE PLAINS AND ADDITIONAL LIFT FROM S/WV BELIEVE
CONVECTION WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE
MTNS.  COULD SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS OVER FAR ERN PLAINS IN DEEPER
MOISTURE WHERE BUFKIT SOUNDING SHOW CAPE AROUND 1200 J/KG AND DECENT
WIND VEERING WITH HEIGHT.  SHOULD SEE LESS WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OVER
THE MTNS BUT STILL WIDELY SCATTERED.   SR

COZ060>081-250600-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1130 AM MDT SUN MAY 24 1998

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COLORADO COUNTIES:

ALAMOSA      BACA        BENT          CHAFFEE        CONEJOS
COSTILLA     CROWLEY     CUSTER        EL PASO        FREMONT
HUERFANO     KIOWA       LAS ANIMAS    MINERAL        OTERO
PROWERS      PUEBLO      RIO GRANDE    SAGUACHE       TELLER

ADEQUATE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS TODAY...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN SECTIONS...WITH
DEWPOINTS HOLDING IN THE 40S AND 50S INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS COLORADO DURING PEAK
HEATING LATER TODAY...LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE SURFACE WILL DEVELOP
TO THE SOUTH OF COLORADO...PRODUCING SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE WINDS OVER
THE PLAINS.  LIFT FROM THE UPSLOPE WINDS AND THE DISTURBANCE
COMBINED WITH AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL
SPAWN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL AS A
POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADO.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY
ALONG AND EAST OF THE EASTERN SLOPES AND ESPECIALLY IN
KIOWA...CROWLEY...OTERO...BENT ...PROWERS...BACA AND LAS ANIMAS
COUNTIES.

WIDELY SCATTERED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY BY EARLY AFTERNOON FOR MUCH
OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

7

COZ071-072-241910-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1208 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 1998

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN EL PASO COUNTY.  AT 1205 PM MDT PUEBLO
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHERN
COLORADO SPRINGS AND WEST OF MONUMENT.  THESE THUNDERSTORMS WERE
MOVING TO THE EAST AT 10 MPH.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BRING DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND SOME WILL
PRODUCE 1/2 INCH DIAMETER OR SMALLER HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AROUND 40
MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

7

COZ071-072-241910-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1208 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 1998

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN EL PASO COUNTY.  AT 1205 PM MDT PUEBLO
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHERN
COLORADO SPRINGS AND WEST OF MONUMENT.  THESE THUNDERSTORMS WERE
MOVING TO THE EAST AT 10 MPH.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BRING DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND SOME WILL
PRODUCE 1/2 INCH DIAMETER OR SMALLER HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AROUND 40
MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

7

STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO, CO
151 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 1998

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0100 PM    4.8 SW COLORADO SPRINGS   CO   0.88 HAIL
05/24/98   EL PASO

0112 PM    3 S COLORADO SPRINGS      CO   0.75 HAIL
05/24/98   EL PASO

COZ071-072-242105-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
218 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 1998

...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY...

THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG...WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 94 EAST OF COLORADO SPRINGS THROUGH 3 PM MDT. THESE STORMS
WILL PRODUCE HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER...BRIEF PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN...AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.

AT 215 PM... PUEBLO RADAR INDICATED THE STRONGEST STORM 2 MILES
NORTH OF ELLICOTT. ANOTHER STORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SECURITY-WIDEFIELD. BOTH STORMS WERE MOVING TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS...CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY. DANGEROUS LIGHTNING CAN
OCCUR WITH ALL THUNDERSTORMS. IF A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES... GET
INDOORS OR IN A VEHICLE. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE SEVERAL MILES AWAY
FROM THE STORM...WHERE IT IS NOT RAINING AND WHERE YOU MAY BE.

MOORE

COZ071-072-242105-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
218 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 1998

...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY...

THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG...WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 94 EAST OF COLORADO SPRINGS THROUGH 3 PM MDT. THESE STORMS
WILL PRODUCE HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER...BRIEF PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN...AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.

AT 215 PM... PUEBLO RADAR INDICATED THE STRONGEST STORM 2 MILES
NORTH OF ELLICOTT. ANOTHER STORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SECURITY-WIDEFIELD. BOTH STORMS WERE MOVING TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS...CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY. DANGEROUS LIGHTNING CAN
OCCUR WITH ALL THUNDERSTORMS. IF A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES... GET
INDOORS OR IN A VEHICLE. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE SEVERAL MILES AWAY
FROM THE STORM...WHERE IT IS NOT RAINING AND WHERE YOU MAY BE.

MOORE