Flash Flood Warning 64, NWS Paducah, KY

Issued

Jul 27, 1998, 5:50 AM CDT (10:50 UTC)

Expired

Jul 27, 1998, 9:00 AM CDT

In force

3 hr

Issued by

NWS Paducah, KY

Area

Whole counties

County New Madrid County, MO

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

000 
TTAA00 KPAH 271048
FFWPAH
MOC023-143-207-223-271400-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
550 AM CDT MON JUL 27 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
  WESTERN NEW MADRID COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
  STODDARD COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
  WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI

* UNTIL 900 AM CDT

* AT 540 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN TRAINING ACROSS PARTS OF
  SOUTHEAST MISSOURI FROM GREENVILLE TO DEXTER TO ABOUT 5 MILES
  WEST OF NEW MADRID...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. STODDARD COUNTY
  EOC OFFICIALS REPORTED STREET FLOODING IN DEXTER.

* DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN
  HAS FALLEN IN THE LAKE WAPPAPELLO AREA WITHIN THE PAST HOUR. IN
  ADDITION...2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN PARTS OF THE
  WARNED AREA SINCE THE RAIN BEGAN EARLY THIS MORNING. AN
  ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  VERY HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE TO TRAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA OVER THE
  NEXT THREE HOURS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS
BY FOOT OR BY AUTO. PERSlONS WITH LIVESTOCK OR PROPERTY IN LOW LYING
AREAS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT THEM FROM HIGH WATER.

PRESLEY/YORK

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 27, 2:00 AM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
200 AM CDT MON JUL 27 1998

NOCTURNAL MCS DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN.
QUASI STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS THE OZARKS
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. PATTERN AT 850 MB IS MORE POORLY DEFINED
THAN PREVIOUS FEW NIGHTS...AND THIS MAY ACCOUNT FOR LESS IMPRESSIVE
CONVECTION OVER MISSOURI/ERN KANSAS THAN AT THIS TIME LAST NIGHT.
BOTH MESO-ETA AND ETA INDICATE THE STRONG 850 MB THETA-E GRADIENT
HAS SHIFTED NORTH INTO NRN MISSOURI AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS. 850
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE FIELDS ON BOTH MODELS ARE RELATIVELY
DISORGANIZED. NEVERTHELESS...CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE INCREASING FROM
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL NORTHWEST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI PER
LATEST RADAR AND LIGHTNING DATA.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND LOCATION OF
CONVECTION THIS MORNING...MAY NEED TO HOLD ONTO FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR PARTS OF SE MISSOURI THIS MORNING. RADAR CURRENTLY INDICATES
RAINFALL RATES UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR IN POF AREA. PAST
HISTORY/RECENT CLIMATOLOGY SUGGESTS THAT HEAVIEST PRECIP SHOULD
OCCUR EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN A RELATIVE BREAK THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS FRONT REMAINS IN THE
AREA AND BASIC PATTERN SHOULD REMAIN UNCHANGED. MODELS DIFFER WITH
RESPECT TO MOVEMENT OF FRONT. AGREE WITH NGM AND MESO-ETA QPF
PROGS...WHICH KEEP HEAVIEST QPF FURTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE BOOTHEEL
AND EXTREME SW KENTUCKY.

TEMPS ONLY REACHED THE LOWER TO MID 70S SUNDAY DUE TO CLOUDS AND
RAIN. ONCE AGAIN...MOS GUIDANCE SEEMS TO BE UNDERPLAYING THE
EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND PRECIP.

MY

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.