Severe Thunderstorm Warning 306, NWS Norman, OK

FPUS3 KOKC 092026
AFDOKC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 1998

SEVERE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING RAPIDLY IN THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF THE
FORECAST AREA.  WE EXPECT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE
EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE WEAKENING FRONTAL SYSTEM
STRETCHED FROM NEAR STILLWATER TO ALTUS.  UPPER FLOW IS ROUGHLY
PARALLEL TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH SUGGESTS THE POSSIBILITY OF
TRAINING STORMS.  HAVE CONSIDERED THE POSSIBILITY OF A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH...BUT AM NOT QUITE SATISFIED THAT WE CAN REACH GUIDANCE LEVELS
OVER A WIDESPREAD AREA TONIGHT.  FLOOD POTENTIAL APPEARS HIGHER
TOMORROW EVENING...ONCE THE GROUND IS MORE SATURATED AFTER THE
STORMS TONIGHT.

ALTHOUGH THE MODELS DEVELOP AN UPPER RIDGE OVER US TONIGHT...IT
APPEARS THAT SHORT WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE OVER THE RIDGE AND
WILL LIKELY ADD SOME SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION FROM TIME TO TIME.  MORE
IMPORTANTLY...LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES FROM DAILY CONVECTION WILL PROVIDE
SEEMINGLY RANDOM FAVORED AREAS FOR MORE CONVECTION.  AM GUESSING
THAT THE MAIN BOUNDARY TOMORROW WILL BE THE SOUTHERN OUTFLOW FROM
THE STORMS TONIGHT.  SO HAVE PLACED HIGHEST POPS IN SOUTH FOR
TOMORROW.  AFTER THAT...POPS ARE MORE UNIFORM.

MOS TEMPERATURES ARE MOSTLY QUITE REASONABLE AND HAVE STRAYED LITTLE
FROM THEM.  INCREASING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH RETURN TO SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD KEEP MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FAIRLY WARM FOR
QUITE A WHILE.

HAVE MADE A MINOR CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED PERIODS.  MRF SUGGESTS
ELEVATED CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ON SATURDAY...SO UPPED THE POPS
FOR THAT DAY SLIGHTLY.

COORD TUL.

FCSTID = 23 = CMS

OKC   70  86  71  88 /  70  40  50  30
HBR   66  88  69  90 /  60  40  50  30
SPS   73  92  75  94 /  60  50  50  30
GAG   58  86  63  86 /  40  30  40  20
PNC   70  88  72  85 /  70  30  50  30
DUA   75  85  75  90 /  50  40  40  30

.OKC...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT TUE JUN  9 1998

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0315 PM    TRUSCOTT                  TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/09/98   KNOX

JS

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
535 PM CDT TUE JUN  9 1998

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0423 PM    ELECTRA                   TX   60 MPH WIND REPORTED
06/09/98   WICHITA                        IN THE CITY.

0430 PM    2 E ELECTRA               TX   1.75 HAIL.
06/09/98   WICHITA

0435 PM    MAYBELLE                  TX   WIND DAMAGE.
06/09/98   BAYLOR                         2 INCH DIAMETER
                                          TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN.

0437 PM    IOWA PARK                 TX   70 MPH WINDS REPORTED IN
06/09/98   WICHITA                        THE CITY.

0458 PM    WICHITA FALLS             TX   0.88 INCH HAIL REPORTED
06/09/98   WICHITA                        IN NORTHERN PART OF CITY.

0502 PM    WICHITA FALLS             TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/09/98   WICHITA

0503 PM    DUNDEE                    TX   0.75 INCH HAIL
06/09/98   ARCHER

0504 PM    SHEPPARD AFB              TX   MEASURED 79 MPH WIND
06/09/98   WICHITA

0520 PM    3 SW DEAN                 TX   70 MPH WIND
06/09/98   CLAY

0534 PM    3 SW HOLIDAY              TX   4.5 INCH HAIL
06/09/98   ARCHER

FM/TL

LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED HAIL SIZE...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
535 PM CDT TUE JUN  9 1998

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0534 PM    3 SW HOLIDAY              TX   1.75 INCH HAIL.
06/09/98   ARCHER

TL

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LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
700 PM CDT TUE JUN  9 1998

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0650 PM    WICHITA FALLS             TX   ...FLOODING...
06/09/98   WICHITA                        BACON SWITCH ROAD FLOODED

0658 PM    HEALDTON                  OK   80 MPH WIND
06/09/98   CARTER

FM