Severe Thunderstorm Warning 217, NWS Norman, OK

FPUS3 KOKC 242041
AFDOKC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 1998

WMFNT LIFTING ACRS FA THIS AFTN EXPCTD TO BE FOCUS FOR TSTMS TNGT.
SVR STMS LKLY EARLY...THEN EVOLVING INTO AN MCS WITH FOCUS SHIFTING
TO HVY RAIN. PRIMARY THREAT AREA WL BE ACRS THE N. AMS ALSO BCMG
MORE UNSTBL TO THE SW VCNTY DRYLN AND SFC LOW. CNVCGC IN THIS AREA
INITIALLY NOT VRY STG...BUT IS IMPROVING. LTST VSBL STLT IMGRY SHOWS
CU STARTING TO BUBBLE BTWN CDS/LBB/ABI WHERE NSSL MM5 OUTPUT SHOWS
TSTM DVLPMNT. CHCS FOR ISOLD SVR WL IMPROVE THIS AREA AS WK SHTWV IN
SUBTROP JET BRUSHES OVR DRYLN.

MAIN QUESTION IS HOW FAR S WL SFC BNDRY GO TNGT AND MON. WHEREVER IT
ENDS UP ON MON...MORE SVR WL BE PSBL. ATTM WL OPT FOR A BLEND OF AVN
AND ETA...IE A LTL FARTHER N ON THE W END OF FNT AND FURTHER SOUTH
OVR ERN OK WHERE OUTFLO FM MCS MAY GIVE IT A PUSH. ELEVATED ACTVTY
WL ALSO BE PSBL N OF BNDRY...SO WL GO WITH CHC POPS EVERYWHERE WITH
HIGHEST POPS IN THE S AND E.

THIS MORNGS MRF IS TRENDING AWAY FM YDAYS QUESTIONABLE SOLUTION OF
PUSHING FNTL BNDRY INTO CNTL TX ON WED. NOW IT TAKES THE FNT INTO
NTX LT TUE AND WASHES IT BACK NWD ACRS OK ON WED. THIS FITS BETTER
WITH UPR PATN AND LUKS MORE REASONABLE. WL KEEP CHC POPS OVR AREA
WED WITH THE WMFNT. LTR IN THE WEEK...TSTM CHCS SHIFT WWD TO PNHDLS
WHERE SCT CNVCTN MAY GET GOING ALG LEE TROF WHERE WARM SFC TEMPS MAY
BE SUFFICIENT TO BREAK CAP. PCPN MAY THEN DRIFT INTO WRN ZNS BEFORE
DSPTG. NEXT PUSH OF CANADIAN AIR COMES INTO THE PLNS LT THU AND
FRI...BUT IS EXPCTD TO REMAIN N OF FA.

STG UPR LOW OVR THE DATA SPARCE AREA W OF BAHA IS VIRTUALLY IGNORED
BY ALL THE MDLS. ENERGY FM THIS SYSTEM CUD COME NEWD WITH SUBTROP
JET AND AFFECT AREA LTR THIS WEEK.   ..04..

GAG 58/76/56/74 7221    PNC 61/79/58/76 +432    HBR 61/82/60/80 4221
SPS 66/85/63/81 4322    OKC 65/83/61/80 6433    DUA 69/88/66/85 3664

.OKC...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

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LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
635 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 1998

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0635 PM    QUANAH                    TX   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/24/98   HARDEMAN

JS

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
635 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 1998

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0635 PM    QUANAH                    TX   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/24/98   HARDEMAN

JS

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
640 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 1998

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0635 PM    QUANAH                    TX   58 MPH WIND GUST
05/24/98   HARDEMAN                       MEASURED AT FIRE
                                          DEPARTMENT

JS

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
640 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 1998

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0635 PM    QUANAH                    TX   58 MPH WIND GUST
05/24/98   HARDEMAN                       MEASURED AT FIRE
                                          DEPARTMENT

JS