Severe Thunderstorm Warning 140, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
255 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 1998

COLD FRONT ESTIMATED BTWN BNA & CSV ATTM. SHWRS/TSTMS FORMING IN AREA
UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF FRNT AS SEEN IN ADAP PRODUCTS. FRNT WL CONT MOVE
E INTO WRN PORTIONS OF CWA THIS EVE AND ACRS REMAINDER OF CWA OVRNGT.
BELIEVE MUCH OF SHWR/TSTM ACTIVITY WL DIE OUT ONCE THE SUN GOES DOWN.
LIKELY POPS STILL LOOK GOOD AND WOULD RETAIN MENTION OF MAINLY THIS
EVE.

MON...FRONT WL BE TO THE E. HWVR A VORT LOBE ROTATING ARND UPPER LOW
AND AN ASSOC SFC TROF WL MOVE THRU CWA DURING THE DAY. COOL POOL ALOFT
DIRECTLY OVHD ALONG W/DAYTIME HTG WL SET OFF SCT SHWRS/TSTMS. POPS WL
BE A BIT HIGHER IN NE TN/SW VA WHERE MOISTURE WL BE DEEPEST AND
PROXIMITY TO COOLEST TEMPS ALOFT BEST.

MON NGT & TUE...WX WL BE QUIETING DOWN AS VORT LOBE..SFC TROF..AND
DEEPEST MOISTURE LIFT OUT AND UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD IN
W/ACCOMPANYING HGT RISES.  850 MB TROF LIFTS OUT W/TEMPS SLOWLY
WARMING..ESP DURING THE DAY TUES.  STILL ENUF MOISTURE ARND FOR A GOOD
DEAL OF CU SO WOULD GO WITH A PTLY CLDY BUT DRY FCST.

FWC/FAN TEMPS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND RECMND A BLEND FOR THE UPCOMING
ZFP.

HSA

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