Alert archive / Tennessee / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 9, NWS Morristown, TN

January 7, 1998Carter County, Johnson County, Unicoi County, Tennessee

NWS Morristown, TN issued this flash flood warning at Jan 7, 1998, 9:18 PM EST for Carter County, Johnson County, Unicoi County, Tennessee. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 7, 1998, 9:18 PM EST (02:18 UTC)
Expired
Jan 8, 1998, 3:15 AM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Morristown, TN
Area
Whole counties

Counties Carter County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Unicoi County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 1998-01-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 203 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 1998-01-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 199 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
203 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
564 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
244 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KMRX 080219
FFWMRX
TNC019-091-171-VAC191-080815-
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE TRI CITIES TN
918 PM EST WED JAN 7 1998
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KNOXVILLE TRI CITIES HAS ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL  315 AM EST
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
 
IN EAST TENNESSEE
 
   ...CARTER COUNTY...JOHNSON COUNTY...UNICOI COUNTY
 
 
IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
 
   ...WASHINGTON COUNTY
 
HEAVY RAIN FROM A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO FALL IN EXTREME
NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN
EXTENDS SOUTH WELL INTO GEORGIA AND WILL MOVE NORTH OVER UNICOI...
CARTER...AND JOHNSON COUNTIES IN TENNESSEE...AND WASHINGTON COUNTY,
VIRGINIA.  THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS AND FLOODING IS
LIKELY IN CREEKS AND STREAMS.  ROADS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED OR WASHED
OUT.
 
FURTHER INFORMATION WILL BE ISSUED AS IT BECOMES AVAILABLE.
 
BE ESPECIALLY CA:UTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE
THE DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS.  IF FLASH FLOODING IS
OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY.  MOVE UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS.  DO
NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jan 7, 3:00 PM EST, 6 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 3:00 PM EST, 6 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
3 PM EST WED JAN 7 1998

ETA TOO FAST W/SYSTEM OVER THE SE. PREFER SLOWER NGM/AVN.

BLANKET FFA FOR ALL OF E TN AND CHEROKEE AND CLAY COUNTIES TONIGHT
LOOKS GOOD GIVEN THAT SYSTEM IS MOVG XTRMLY SLOW. CRW..WOULD INCLD SW
VA AS WELL.  SRLY FLOW FM SFC ON UP..DEEP MOISTURE..LIFT..AND GOOD
LOW-LVL THETA-E RIDGE OVER CWA COMBINE TO GERNERATE WIDESPREAD MOD TO
HVY RAINFALL DURING THE OVRNGT HRS.  EVEN THOUGH HEAVIEST RAINFALL WL
BE ON THE E SLOPES OF THE MTS IN FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS..PREV MENTIONED
FACTORS WL OVERCOME MUCH OF THE RAIN SHADOW EFFECT.  RAIN CHCS SLOWLY
DIMINISH FM SW TO NE THURS AS DEEP MOISTURE AND BEST LIFT GRAD SHIFT N
& E.  WOULD GO FOR LIKELY POPS FOR NE TN/SW VA..GOOD CHC VALLEY &
PLATEAU..CHC POPS SE TN/SW NC. CHC POPS STILL NEEDED THURS NGT.  UPPER
TROF/VORT AXIS PIVOT ACRS CWA & FCST SNDGS SHOW STEEP LAPSE RATE. FRI
WL BE A DRY DAY AS A ZONAL hFLOW BEGINS TO DVLP. LOW LVL WRAPAROUND
MOISTURE REMAINS HI SO CLDY SKIES WL CONTINUE.

FWC/FAN BLEND ON TEMPS PREFERRED.

THANKS FOR COORD CALL MEM.

HSA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Morristown, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 7, 8:08 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningMRXSevier6 hr
Jan 7, 8:35 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningMRXCumberland, Fentress7 hr
Jan 7, 8:35 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningMRXHamilton7 hr
Jan 8, 12:45 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningMRXBlount3 hr
Jan 8, 3:11 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningMRXCarter, Johnson, Unicoi3 hr
Jan 8, 3:11 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningMRXCarter, Johnson3 hr
Jan 8, 3:11 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningMRXUnicoi3 hr
Jan 8, 9:29 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningMRXCocke22 hr
Jan 8, 5:48 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXSevier42 min
Jan 8, 6:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMonroe68 min
Jan 8, 6:25 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMcMinn50 min
Jan 8, 6:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount63 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.