Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
202 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 1998

SHOWERS AND STORMS BECOMING SCATTERED ALONG THE EAST COAST SEABREEZE
FROM CAPE CANAVERAL NWD PRESENTLY AND STARTING TO DEVELOP OVER
INTERIOR SECTIONS. COVERAGE/INTENSITY SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE REST
OF THE AFTERNOON. UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD POOL ALOFT TO DRIFT SW
THROUGH TONIGHT AND REACH TO OVER NRN FL ON WED AND PERSIST OVER
REGION INTO THURS. WITH THE LOW/COOL AIR ALOFT APPROACHING REGION...
SOME STORMS COULD PERSIST WELL INTO NIGHT TIME HOURS AND THE THREAT
FOR STRONG STORMS WILL CONTINUE. WITH LOW MOVING OVER NRN PART OF
STATE PWAT VALUES WILL BE LOWER OVER THAT REGION DUE TO MID/UPPER
DRYING ASSOCIATED WITH LOW WHILE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL EXTEND OVER SRN
PART OF STATE THROUGH WED. WOULD FAVOR SCATTERED POPS FOR AREA WITH
HIGHEST VALUES IN SOUTH. LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT OVER C PART OF
STATE INTO WED AND HELP PROVIDE FOCUS FOR STORMS. FLOW NEAR THE
SURFACE SHOULD BE LIGHT ENOUGH TO ALLOW EAST COAST SEABREEZE
DEVELOPMENT NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

GLITTO

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-041630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1115 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 1998

...AFTERNOON STORMS LIKELY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...
...THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL...

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL MOVE LITTLE
WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER MEANDERS OFF THE GEORGIA AND
NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTS. AS THESE FEATURES COMBINE WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AND SEA BREEZES ALONG BOTH COASTS...STORMS ARE LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS WILL START TO FORM EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. BY MID AFTERNOON...STORMS WILL INCREASE OVER
INLAND SECTIONS AS THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES INTO THE
INTERIOR...AND THEN TOWARD THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS. STORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS TODAY WILL BE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...SINCE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE
RELATIVELY COOL AND DRY. STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO
INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS. MOVE TO SAFETY IMMEDIATELY AT
THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES. REMEMBER THAT LIGHTNING CAN
STRIKE YOU EVEN WHEN THE STORM IS NOT OVERHEAD.

OFFSHORE BUOYS CONTINUE TO SHOW SWELLS BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ALONG THE
EAST COAST. AUGUST 8TH WILL BE A FULL MOON...WHICH MEANS ASTRONOMICAL
HIGH TIDES ARE APPROACHING. EXCESS WATER WILL CONTINUE TO PILE UP
BEHIND THE SAND BAR...RESULTING IN A GREATER THAN NORMAL THREAT OF RIP
CURRENTS. RIPS WILL BE MOST LIKELY DURING THE OUTGOING TIDE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY NEAR PIERS AND JETTIES. SWIM WITH
CAUTION AND ALWAYS REMAIN WITHIN SIGHT OF LIFEGUARDS.

MARINE INTERESTS...STORMS WHICH FORM ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
WILL AFFECT THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING...STRONG WIND GUSTS...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO HEAVY
DOWNPOURS MAY OCCUR. A FEW WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

GLITTO

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-041630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1115 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 1998

...AFTERNOON STORMS LIKELY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...
...THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL...

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL MOVE LITTLE
WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER MEANDERS OFF THE GEORGIA AND
NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTS. AS THESE FEATURES COMBINE WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AND SEA BREEZES ALONG BOTH COASTS...STORMS ARE LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS WILL START TO FORM EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. BY MID AFTERNOON...STORMS WILL INCREASE OVER
INLAND SECTIONS AS THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES INTO THE
INTERIOR...AND THEN TOWARD THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS. STORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS TODAY WILL BE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...SINCE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE
RELATIVELY COOL AND DRY. STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO
INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS. MOVE TO SAFETY IMMEDIATELY AT
THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES. REMEMBER THAT LIGHTNING CAN
STRIKE YOU EVEN WHEN THE STORM IS NOT OVERHEAD.

OFFSHORE BUOYS CONTINUE TO SHOW SWELLS BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ALONG THE
EAST COAST. AUGUST 8TH WILL BE A FULL MOON...WHICH MEANS ASTRONOMICAL
HIGH TIDES ARE APPROACHING. EXCESS WATER WILL CONTINUE TO PILE UP
BEHIND THE SAND BAR...RESULTING IN A GREATER THAN NORMAL THREAT OF RIP
CURRENTS. RIPS WILL BE MOST LIKELY DURING THE OUTGOING TIDE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY NEAR PIERS AND JETTIES. SWIM WITH
CAUTION AND ALWAYS REMAIN WITHIN SIGHT OF LIFEGUARDS.

MARINE INTERESTS...STORMS WHICH FORM ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
WILL AFFECT THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING...STRONG WIND GUSTS...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO HEAVY
DOWNPOURS MAY OCCUR. A FEW WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

GLITTO