Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
747 PM EST SAT FEB 28 1998

CURRENTLY...FRONT LOOKS TO BE HUNG UP IN THE VICINITY OF THE BIG BEND
AREA AS A WEAK WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER IMPULSE TRACKS ACROSS GULF
OF MEXICO.  CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION WAS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THIS
DISTURBANCE WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING DETECTED.

TONIGHT...MOIST AIR MASS SHOULD ALLOW GULF ACTIVITY TO HOLD TOGETHER
AND REACH THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT.  SOME NIGHTTIME STABILIZATION OF
THE LOW LEVELS ALONG WITH WEAK SURFACE FLOW MAY HELP TO WEAKEN STORMS
SLIGHTLY AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

FRONT NOT LIKELY TO MAKE MUCH PROGRESS UNTIL WAVE MOVES BY SO LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF LOW LEVEL DRYING WILL OCCUR...HENCE THERE WILL BE SOME
AREAS OF FOG TOWARDS SUNRISE.  CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS EXPECTED TO KEEP
FOG FROM BECOMING WIDESPREAD DENSE.

PLANNING SOME UPDATES TO INDICATE TIMING OF RAIN CHANCES AND FOG
FORMATION.  WILL ALSO HAVE TO INTRODUCE THUNDER FURTHER NORTH GIVEN
PERSISTENCE OF GULF ACTIVITY.

SUNDAY...MODELS SHOWING PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA
AS MODIFIED AIR MASS SLOWLY WORKS ACROSS THE AREA.  THEREFORE...SKY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE VERY SLOW TO IMPROVE.

LASCODY

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-010500-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
815 PM EST SAT FEB 28 1998

...A FEW SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...

ANOTHER IN THE SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY WAS TRIGGERING THUNDERSTORMS LATE
SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
SLOW MOVING COOL FRONT.

THE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 40 MPH.  A FEW COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES NEAR THE WEST COAST ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS.  A TORNADO WATCH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM SUNDAY
FOR THE WEST COAST AND INLAND TO LAKE AND POLK COUNTIES.

SHOULD THE STORMS MAINTAIN THERE INTENSITY AS THEY APPROACH THE
INTERIOR OF THE PENINSULA...AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED.  PEOPLE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE
LATEST WEATHER DEVELOPMENTS DURING THE NIGHT.  IT WOULD BE A GOOD
IDEA TO ACTIVATE YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO BEFORE GOING TO SLEEP THIS
EVENING.

LASCODY

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-010500-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
815 PM EST SAT FEB 28 1998

...A FEW SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...

ANOTHER IN THE SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY WAS TRIGGERING THUNDERSTORMS LATE
SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
SLOW MOVING COOL FRONT.

THE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 40 MPH.  A FEW COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES NEAR THE WEST COAST ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS.  A TORNADO WATCH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM SUNDAY
FOR THE WEST COAST AND INLAND TO LAKE AND POLK COUNTIES.

SHOULD THE STORMS MAINTAIN THERE INTENSITY AS THEY APPROACH THE
INTERIOR OF THE PENINSULA...AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED.  PEOPLE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE
LATEST WEATHER DEVELOPMENTS DURING THE NIGHT.  IT WOULD BE A GOOD
IDEA TO ACTIVATE YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO BEFORE GOING TO SLEEP THIS
EVENING.

LASCODY