Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
245 PM EST THU FEB 19 1998

OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT NWD THROUGH S FL AND INTO C FL
TONIGHT AS SHORTWAVE/UPPER JET MAX APPROACH NRN SECTIONS OF STATE.
JUST A FEW SHOWERS AFFECTING SRN SECTIONS OF CWA SO FAR AND LOOKS
LIKE OUR HIGHEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND DAWN. EXPECT AREA
OF RAIN WILL BECOME EXTENSIVE IN COVERAGE OVER CWA WITH A FEW
EMBEDDED STORMS. A FEW STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE FRONT
WITH BETTER SHEAR ALONG BOUNDARY. SFC WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG FRONT IN
GULF WITH SOME ASSOCIATED CONVECTION SHOULD BE IN ATLANTIC BY 12Z
WITH CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING FROM THE NORTH DURING THE DAY
FRI. LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE TRW MAY GET SOME ISOLATED RAIN AMOUNTS OF
A COUPLE INCHES...MOST OF REST OF AREA SHOULD BE LOWER WITH AVERAGES
OF A HALF INCH TO AN INCH SINCE THE EVENT WILL NOT BE TOO LONG IN
DURATION...SO SHOULD MAINLY HAVE SOME LOW LYING/POORLY DRAINAGE AREA
FLOODING PROBLEMS. CURRENT ZONES HAVE HIGH POPS IN FOR TONIGHT AND
STILL LOOK OK...SCATTERED POPS WILL LINGER ON FRI AND LIKE A TREND
SHOWING GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT FROM T@HE N AS THE DAY WEARS ON AND
PLEASANT WEATHER LINGERING FOR MOST OF THE WEEKEND. THANKS FOR YOUR
INSIGHTS TBW.

GLITTO

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-192230-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
400 PM EST THU FEB 19 1998

...TORNADO WATCH IN AFFECT FOR BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER
OKEECHOBEE...ST LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES THROUGH 10 PM...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVING EAST FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO WILL INTERACT WITH A WARM FRONT OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND
AFFECT MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THE NIGHT TIME HOURS.
DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH MOST
OF THE ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM DISNEY TO ORLANDO
TO THE SPACE CENTER. HOWEVER...IF THE WARM FRONT MOVES FARTHER
NORTH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE WEATHER
AND BE PREPARED TO REACT IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

MARINE INTEREST...THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL
WATERS AFTER 6 PM THIS EVENING. ALTHOUGH ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS
WILL SEE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TONIGHT...THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CAPE CANAVERAL TO BUOY 10.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

HODANISH

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-192230-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
400 PM EST THU FEB 19 1998

...TORNADO WATCH IN AFFECT FOR BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER
OKEECHOBEE...ST LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES THROUGH 10 PM...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVING EAST FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO WILL INTERACT WITH A WARM FRONT OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND
AFFECT MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THE NIGHT TIME HOURS.
DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH MOST
OF THE ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM DISNEY TO ORLANDO
TO THE SPACE CENTER. HOWEVER...IF THE WARM FRONT MOVES FARTHER
NORTH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE WEATHER
AND BE PREPARED TO REACT IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

MARINE INTEREST...THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL
WATERS AFTER 6 PM THIS EVENING. ALTHOUGH ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS
WILL SEE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TONIGHT...THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CAPE CANAVERAL TO BUOY 10.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

HODANISH