Severe Thunderstorm Warning 334, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
954 AM EST TUE NOV 10 1998

14Z SFC ANALYSIS INDICATED A DEEP LOW ACROSS FAR NRN IA.  THE LOW
APPEARED TO BE MUCH DEEPER THAN THE MODELS HAD PROGD IT TO BE EVEN
BY 18Z.  A CDFNT EXTENDED SWD ACROSS IL INTO THE MO BOOTHILL AND
ARKANSAS.  THIS FNT WL SWEEP RAPIDLY ACROSS THE OH VLY BRINGING
STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH SHRA/TSRA.  SOME OF THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS
COULD BRING WIND GUSTS TO THE SFC IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH.  THUS...WL
STICK WITH THE WIND ADVISORY AND SVR WORDING IN THE FCST.  ONLY
CHANGES WERE TO UP THE TEMPS IN THE NRN MIAMI VLY TO THE MID 60S AND
TO CHANGE THE WIND DIRECTION TO S.

.ILN...WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL ZONES TODAY. WIND ADVISORY CNTRL OH
       EARLY TNGT.

WILKINSON

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-102200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1026 AM EST TUE NOV 10 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL INDIANA...AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL
OHIO THIS AFTERNOON..

SOME CITIES IN THE RISK AREA INCLUDE CINCINNATI...DAYTON...
SPRINGFIELD...COLUMBUS...PORTSMOUTH AND RICHMOND INDIANA.

A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT
PUSHES FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A VERY STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE LOW WILL PUSH THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE AS STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT PULL WARM MOIST AIR INTO THE
REGION.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN INDIANA...WESTERN OHIO
AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WILL PUSH INTO
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY AND CENTRAL OHIO BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS. WITH THE RAPID MOVEMENT OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM...COMBINED WITH
EXTREMELY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH IS POSSIBLE.

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH HAVE
BEEN RECEIVED ACROSS EASTERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN INDIANA THIS
MORNING.

THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER TH\REAT THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES AN HOUR. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY
THIS AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL OR
CABLE NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

WILKINSON

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-102200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1026 AM EST TUE NOV 10 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL INDIANA...AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL
OHIO THIS AFTERNOON..

SOME CITIES IN THE RISK AREA INCLUDE CINCINNATI...DAYTON...
SPRINGFIELD...COLUMBUS...PORTSMOUTH AND RICHMOND INDIANA.

A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT
PUSHES FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A VERY STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE LOW WILL PUSH THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE AS STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT PULL WARM MOIST AIR INTO THE
REGION.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN INDIANA...WESTERN OHIO
AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WILL PUSH INTO
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY AND CENTRAL OHIO BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS. WITH THE RAPID MOVEMENT OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM...COMBINED WITH
EXTREMELY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH IS POSSIBLE.

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH HAVE
BEEN RECEIVED ACROSS EASTERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN INDIANA THIS
MORNING.

THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER TH\REAT THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES AN HOUR. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY
THIS AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL OR
CABLE NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

WILKINSON

KYZ089-090-094>100-101800-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1100 AM EST TUE NOV 10 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY
   UNTIL 400 PM...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WINDS WILL PUSH
INTO NORTHERN KENTUCKY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  MORE
SPECIFIC INFORMATION WILL FOLLOW WITHIN 30 MINUTES IN ANOTHER
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT.

WILKINSON

KYZ089-090-094>100-101800-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1100 AM EST TUE NOV 10 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY
   UNTIL 400 PM...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WINDS WILL PUSH
INTO NORTHERN KENTUCKY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  MORE
SPECIFIC INFORMATION WILL FOLLOW WITHIN 30 MINUTES IN ANOTHER
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT.

WILKINSON

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>055-060>064-070>072-077>081-102200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1120 AM EST TUE NOV 10 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY
   UNTIL 400 PM...

SOME TOWNS IN THIS WATCH AREA INCLUDE OWENTOWN AND MAYSVILLE.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST AND EAST-
CENTRAL INDIANA...EXTREME NORTHERN KENTUCKY...AND WESTERN AND
CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 500 PM...

SOME CITIES IN THIS WATCH AREA INCLUDE RICHMOND INDIANA...DAYTON...
SPRINGFIELD...CINCINNATI...COLUMBUS AND COVINGTON KENTUCKY.

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WINDS WILL PUSH
INTO THE WATCH AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  SOME REPORTS OF
WINDS FROM 60 TO 70 MPH AND SOME DAMAGE HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM
WESTERN INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND EASTERN ILLINOIS.

THE STORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN INDIANA...WESTERN OHIO...AND NORTHERN
KENTUCKY AROUND COVINGTON DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND
THEN PUSH INTO CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST KENTUCKY AROUND MAYSVILLE
DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS
DEVELOPING SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.

WILKINSON

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>055-060>064-070>072-077>081-102200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1120 AM EST TUE NOV 10 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY
   UNTIL 400 PM...

SOME TOWNS IN THIS WATCH AREA INCLUDE OWENTOWN AND MAYSVILLE.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST AND EAST-
CENTRAL INDIANA...EXTREME NORTHERN KENTUCKY...AND WESTERN AND
CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 500 PM...

SOME CITIES IN THIS WATCH AREA INCLUDE RICHMOND INDIANA...DAYTON...
SPRINGFIELD...CINCINNATI...COLUMBUS AND COVINGTON KENTUCKY.

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WINDS WILL PUSH
INTO THE WATCH AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  SOME REPORTS OF
WINDS FROM 60 TO 70 MPH AND SOME DAMAGE HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM
WESTERN INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND EASTERN ILLINOIS.

THE STORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN INDIANA...WESTERN OHIO...AND NORTHERN
KENTUCKY AROUND COVINGTON DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND
THEN PUSH INTO CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST KENTUCKY AROUND MAYSVILLE
DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
THOSE IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS
DEVELOPING SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.

WILKINSON