Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
340 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 1998

...MAIN CONCERN THIS PACKAGE IS CHC OF RAIN FOR TODAY...
RADAR SHOWS RAIN NEARLY WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE CWA...BUT CLEARING OUT
QUICKLY.  ETA MODEL SEEMED TO MATCH THE 06Z SFC MAP FAIRLY
WELL...ALTHOUGH IT REALLY DROPS THE LOW DOWN INTO THE HEART OF TX BY
THIS AFTN AND EVENING WHILE THE NGM/AVN KEEP IT IN NW TX. THIS SEEMS
TO BE THE TREND LATELY WITH THE ETA MODEL.  ALOFT...MODELS ARE IN
BETTER AGREEMENT.  ANOTHER S/W TO MOVE ACROSS KS THIS AFTN AS SEEN
IN THE WATER VAPOR IN NE CO...THERES A PRETTY GOOD COLD POOL ALONG
WITH IT. AS THE S/W AND COLD POOL MOVE OVER THE AREA...THIS SHOULD
HELP STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AND COULD GET A FEW SHOWERS AND TSRA TO
DEVELOP JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE TODAY...SO WILL KEEP 30 POPS IN THE FCST
FOR TODAY IN CENTRAL SECTIONS WITH HIGHER POPS IN THE SE.   UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...WITH SFC
HIGH SETTLING IN BY 12Z TUE. COULD SEE FOG DEVELOP TONIGHT AS WINDS
GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER FAIRLY WET GROUND AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
OTHERWISE...IT SHOULD KEEP THINGS QUIET INTO WED. LATEST AVN IS
SHOWING GOOD MOISTURE RETURN ON WED...WITH 70C+ DEWPTS MOVING INTO
ERN KS AND 850MB DEWPTS ARND +14C...HOWEVER ITS LOOKING LIKE WE
WILL BE CAPPED SO WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES AT THIS TIME FOR WED.

NOONAN

FCSTID = 15
ICT   79  59  83  61 /  30   5   0   0
HUT   77  57  81  61 /  30   0   0   0
EWK   78  57  82  61 /  30   5   0   0
EQA   78  58  82  61 /  30   5   0   0
WLD   81  59  84  63 /  30   5   0   0
RSL   74  54  78  59 /  30   0   0   0
GBD   75  56  79  60 /  30   0   0   0
SLN   76  54  80  60 /  30   0   0   0
MPR   77  56  81  61 /  30   0   0   0
CFV   80  58  81  60 /  70  10   0   0
CNU   80  56  81  60 /  70  10   0   0
K88   79  56  80  60 /  70  10   0   0

.ICT...NONE.