Severe Thunderstorm Warning 166, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
328 PM CDT MON JUN 22 1998

GENERALLY FOLLOWED AN ETA SOLUTION...THOUGH ALL MODELS IN FAIRLY
CLOSE AGREEMENT.  WARM FRONT CURRENTLY SETTING UP ALONG KS/OK BORDER
SHLD MOVE NWRD ACROSS KS BY TONIGHT. WL LEAVE POPS IN FOR ALL OF
CWA. SCT STUFF IN SCEN AND SE KS THIS EVENING.  HIGHER POPS IN CEN
FOR OVERNIGHT PERIOD.  EXPECT MCS TO DEVELOP NE CO AND MOVE
EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN KS/SOUTHERN NE OVERNIGHT. COORD W/
TOP..LOOKING INTO POSSIBLE FFA FOR PORTION OF CEN SECT SINCE THAT
AREA HAS BEEN GETTING THE BRUNT OF THE RAIN FROM THE LAST FEW
SYSTEMS. WL LIKELY HOLD OFF FOR THIS EVENING. LOWS TONIGHT SHLD FALL
INTO THE UPPER 60S/LOW 70S.

AFTER TONIGHT..FCST GETS A LITTLE EASIER.  UPPER LEVEL HIGH TAKES
OVER LEAVING MOSTLY SUNNY..HOT AND DRY WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AROUND 100 TO 105 THROUGH SAT WITH LOWS
AROUND 70.  INITIAL THOUGHTS ON WARMEST DAYS.. WED..FRI AND SAT.

RUNYAN

FCSTID = 7
ICT   71  98  73 101 /  20  10   0   0
HUT   70  97  71 100 /  20  10   0   0
EWK   70  96  72 100 /  20  10   0   0
EQA   71  96  73  99 /  20  10   0   0
WLD   72  98  75 102 /  20  10   0   0
RSL   68  97  70 100 /  40  10   0   0
GBD   69  97  71 100 /  40  10   0   0
SLN   69  96  72 101 /  40  10   0   0
MPR   69  95  72 100 /  40  10   0   0
CFV   73  96  74  99 /  20  10   0   0
CNU   73  95  74  98 /  20  10   0   0
K88   73  95  74  98 /  20  10   0   0

.ICT...NONE.

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-240700-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1253 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 1998

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL KANSAS:
BARTON      COWLEY      HARVEY      MARION      RENO     SEDGWICK
ELLSWORTH   KINGMAN     MCPHERSON   RUSSELL     SUMNER   CHASE
HARPER      LINCOLN     RICE        SALINE      BUTLER

AND IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS:
ALLEN       ELK         LABETTE     NEOSHO      WOODSON
CHAUTAUQUA  GREENWOOD   MONTGOMERY  WILSON

SYNOPSIS:

AT MIDDAY A WARM FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS WITH DRIER AIR
POISED ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN KANSAS.  AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB
APPROACH 100 ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  ACROSS CENTRAL
KANSAS...THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS
THE DRIER AIR APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST.  ALL OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AIDED BY STRONG WINDS ALOFT MOVING INTO THE
REGION FROM NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
WILL BE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS
ABFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IN CENTRAL
KANSAS.

HOWERTON