Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
353 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 1998

...SHORT TERM...
COULD BE A BUSY EVENING AS FIRST STORM OF THE DAY FIRING ALONG THE
DRYLINE NEAR P28. VIS SATELLITE SHOWS CU/TCU BEGINNING TO BUILD
ALONG THE DRYLINE FROM SPS NORTH TO HLC. LAPS CAPES AT 19Z
HAVE SOARED ABOVE 5000 J/KG OVER SC KS WITH 3-4K CAPES ELSEHWERE.
BEST TORNADO THREAT APPEARS JUST N OF ICT TOWARD SLN WHERE
WINDS REMAINED BACKED...THOUGH SUPERCELLS WITH BRIEF TORNADOES
POSSIBLE ANYWHERE IN THE CWA. WILL ADD SEVERE WORDING TO ALL
ZONES. DRY LINE KICKS EAST QUICKLY OVERNIGHT...WILL LIKELY END
TSRA BY MIDNIGHT SC/CE...COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY MORNING SE
ZONES. MIN TEMPS NEAR GUIDANCE ACCEPTABLE.

PETERSEN

...LONG TERM...
LTL TIME FOR LENGTHY DISC W/ COORD OF WW AND CNVTN FIRING...
BRISK/DRIER WLY FLO BHND DEPARTG LOW ON SUNDAY WIT TEMPS SOME
15F COOLER THAN TDA BUT STILL NR CLIMO FOR JUNE. MAIN FCST CONCERN
IS LATE SUNDAY/MONDAY WITH S/W IN NWLY FLO ALOFT. LUKS LIKE ENUF
MSTR WITH SYS AND MID LVL CAA FOR SC WITH WK INSTBY FOR SHWRS.
CLOUDS AND LO LVL CAA SHUD MAKE FOR A LTL COOLER TEMPS. GENL WARMING
TREND INTO MID-WEEK WITH NXT SGNFCT CHC OF PCPN WED NGT/THU.

DARMOFAL

FCSTID = 13
ICT   67  88  62  84 /  60   5  10  20
HUT   67  86  60  81 /  60   5  10  20
EWK   67  86  60  81 /  60   5  10  20
EQA   67  86  61  82 /  60   5  10  20
WLD   67  88  63  84 /  60   5  10  20
RSL   64  83  56  78 /  50   5  20  20
GBD   64  84  56  79 /  50   5  20  20
SLN   66  85  59  80 /  60   5  10  20
MPR   66  86  60  81 /  60   5  10  20
CFV   69  85  63  84 /  60  20  10  20
CNU   69  84  62  83 /  60  20  10  20
K88   69  84  62  82 /  60  20  10  20

.ICT...NONE.

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-140045-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1146 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 1998

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL KANSAS:
BARTON    COWLEY      HARVEY      MARION      RENO        SEDGWICK
BUTLER    ELLSWORTH   KINGMAN     MCPHERSON   RUSSELL     SUMNER
CHASE     HARPER      LINCOLN     RICE        SALINE

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS:

ALLEN     GREENWOOD   NEOSHO      WILSON      CHAUTAUQUA  LABETTE
ELK       MONTGOMERY  WOODSON

SYNOPSIS:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER EASTERN COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT ALONG A
GOODLAND TO PONCA CITY LINE LIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS KANSAS.
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO CENTRAL AND
EASTERN KANSAS TODAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE. IN ADDITION...AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT.  THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH STORMS SPREADING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND PROFILES IN THE
LOWER ATMOSPHERE SUGGEST ANY THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DO DEVELOP WILL
LIKELY BECOME SEVERE...WITH TORNADOES...HIGH WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

PETERSEN

KSZ032-033-047>053-O67>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-132145-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
430 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA IS ACTIVATING OUR
SKYWARN SPOTTER NETWORK.

A SKYWARN OPERATOR IS MONITORING AREA NETWORKS.

THE PRIMARY SKYWARN FREQUENCY IS 146.94 MHZ.

SECONDARY FREQUENCIES ARE ALSO BEING MONITORED ON 146.82 AND 145.13 MHZ.

 KED