Tornado Warning 35, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
255 AM CDT THU SEP 10 1998

THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE AFFECTING SETX REMAINS TROPICAL STORM
FRANCES.  THE AVN AND ETA ARE VERY SIMILAR IN THEIR HANDLING OF THE
STORM THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...AND WERE JUST A BIT FURTHER TO THE NORTH
THAN THE HURRICANE CENTER/S STORM FORECAST TRACK.  THE FUTURE TRACK
OF THE STORM IS STILL UNCERTAIN...BUT AS FAR AS FOR ITS EFFECTS ON
SETX AND THE UPPER TX COAST...WILL GO WITH AN AVN/ETA BLEND.
ACCORDING TO THE AVN PW FORECAST...THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAINFALL
OVER THE INLAND COUNTIES WILL BEGIN BY THIS EVENING AND EXTEND INTO
SATURDAY.

RELATED EFFECTS OF THE STORM TO CONSIDER ARE GUSTY WINDS OVER THE
INLAND COUNTIES NOT UNDER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  BOTH HARRIS
AND JACKSON COUNTIES ARE PART OF THE WARNING AREA ALONG WITH THE
COASTAL COUTNIES.  FOR LIBERTY...FORT BEND...AND WHARTON COUNTIES
WILL GO WITH A WIND ADVISORY FOR WIND SPEEDS GUSTING IN THE 20 TO 30
MPH RANGE (WILL ISSUE THE NPW SOON).  FURTHER INLAND CAUTION IS
ADVISED ON AREA LAKES FOR WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY...
THOUGH THIS AREA WILL NEED TO BE RECHECKED ON THE MORNING UPDATE AT
9 AM.

ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE NEXT TIER OF COUNTIES JUST INLAND THE
WINDS HAVE BEEN GUSTING TONIGHT AND THE TIDE CONTINUE TO RISE IN
SOME LOCATIONS.  AT 2 AM AT PLEASURE PIER WIND SPEEDS WERE 35G41
KNOTS WITH THE TIDE AT 6 FEET AND RISING (THE TIDE WAS 4.6 ABOVE
NORMAL).  ALSO AT 2 AM AT EAGLE POINT THE WIND WAS 28G36 KNOTS AND
THE TIDE WAS 4.6 FEET.  PROBLEMS WITH COASTAL FLOODING CONTINUED AT
THE COAST...AND WILL UPDATE THE NUMBERS ON THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM
LOCAL STATEMENT.

TOUGH FORECAST FOR POPS AND TEMPERATURES THIS PERIOD...LARGELY
BECAUSE OF THE STILL UNCERTAIN NATURE OF THE TRACK OF FRANCES.
STICKING TO THE AVN GUIDANCE WILL INCREASE POPS TONIGHT...FRIDAY...
AND FRIDAY NIGHT OVER THE INLAND AREAS.  THE FWC LOOKS TO BE
REFLECTING THE CLOUD COVER ON TEMPERATURES...BUT MAY BE TOO LOW
OVERALL IN THE HIGHS.  THERE A LACK OF CLOUD COVER MAY HELP HIGHS
REACH INTO THE LOWER 90S TODAY.  PL/40

PRELIMS...
         SKY       TEMPS     POPS          WINDS
CLL  E/E E/E  91/73 90/73    4565  15-20/15-20/15-20/15-20
NE   E/E E/E  90/74 88/74    5566  15-20/15-20/15-20/15-20
IAH  E/W T/E  88/75 86/74    6775  15G25/15G25/15G25/15-20
GLS  T/W T/W  86/76 86/76    7887  20G30/20G30/20G30/15G25