Severe Thunderstorm Warning 66, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
240 PM EDT THU MAY 7 1998

CAE/FFC/RAH: TSTMS WITH HVY RAIN...POSS SVR TONIGHT.  HANG ONTO
              SMALL POPS THRU FRIDAY.

INITIAL BAND OF CONVECTION GETTING READY TO CLEAR EASTERN FRINGES
OF CWA & IN ITS WAKE...ATMOSPHERE SHOULD RECOVER QUICKLY WITH
AS SUNSHINE RETURNED TO HELP DESTABILIZE.  ALREADY TSTMS DEVELOPING
RAPIDLY IN EAST TENNESSEE & WILL SPREAD EAST BACK INTO FA LATER
THIS AFTERNOON & EVENING.  STRONG OMEGA...FAVORABLE LEFT EXIT REGION
POS OF 25H JET...UPPER DIFFLUENCE...INCREASING VWP AND LLVL RH RETURN
ALL LEADS TO IMPRESSIVE SVR CHCS INTO TONIGHT.  WARM FRONT LIES JUST
TO THE SOUTH/WEST OF FA & WILL CONT TO LIFT NWD WITH BEST TORNADO
THREAT ALONG THIS BNDRY.

THETA-E & HIGHER PW AXIS WILL SHIFT FROM ERN TENN THIS AFTERNOON
INTO AN E-W ORIENTATION ACRS N GA/N SC.  LOCALIZED 1-2 AMTS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP WITH STMS TONIGHT BUT DEBATABLE IF THE DURATION OF
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LONG ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD FLDG TO EVOLVE.

OMEGA & DEEP MOISTURE CUTS OFF TWDS 12Z WITH SFC & 85H FNT MOVING
ACRS FA DURING FRIDAY MORNING.  LLVL DRYING PROGGED DURING DAY
...BUT WERE STILL UNSTABLE AS UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE AREA.
SO...STILL WOULD LIKE TO HANG ONTO SMALL POPS THRU FRIDAY.

AVL  58/71/53/77  6312
CLT  63/77/58/83  6412
GSP  62/78/57/82  6312

CSH

GAZ026-028-029-SCZ001>014-019-071855-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
155 PM EDT THU MAY 7 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CLEARED THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 301...

IN GEORGIA...

FRANKLIN...HART...ELBERT

IN SOUTH CAROLINA...

OCONEE...PICKENS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...CHEROKEE...CHESTER...
YORK...ANDERSON...LAURENS...UNION...ABBEVILLE....GREENWOOD

SEVERE WEATHER HAS MOVED EAST OF THE THESE COUNTIES.
KAJ

GAZ026-028-029-SCZ001>014-019-071855-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
155 PM EDT THU MAY 7 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CLEARED THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 301...

IN GEORGIA...

FRANKLIN...HART...ELBERT

IN SOUTH CAROLINA...

OCONEE...PICKENS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...CHEROKEE...CHESTER...
YORK...ANDERSON...LAURENS...UNION...ABBEVILLE....GREENWOOD

SEVERE WEATHER HAS MOVED EAST OF THE THESE COUNTIES.
KAJ

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-
019-080005-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
229 PM EDT THU MAY 7 1998

...SEVERE WEATHER STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.  THUNDERSTORMS
THAT AFFECTED MOST OF THE AREA EARLIER TODAY HAVE MOVED EAST OF
THE AREA.  THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS SUNSHINE DEVELOPS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA.  THIS COMBINED WITH DRIER AIR ALOFT AND STRENGTHENING
WINDS IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AS OF 230 PM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING IN EAST TENNESSEE
AND WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA DURING
THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.  NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN PORTIONS
OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA COULD BE AFFECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
CAROLINA PIEDMONT.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED BY MID OR LATE AFTERNOON IN
PARTS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RAIO OR TELEVISION OR
CABLE TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.
KAJ

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-
019-080005-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
229 PM EDT THU MAY 7 1998

...SEVERE WEATHER STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.  THUNDERSTORMS
THAT AFFECTED MOST OF THE AREA EARLIER TODAY HAVE MOVED EAST OF
THE AREA.  THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS SUNSHINE DEVELOPS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA.  THIS COMBINED WITH DRIER AIR ALOFT AND STRENGTHENING
WINDS IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AS OF 230 PM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING IN EAST TENNESSEE
AND WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA DURING
THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.  NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN PORTIONS
OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA COULD BE AFFECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
CAROLINA PIEDMONT.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED BY MID OR LATE AFTERNOON IN
PARTS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RAIO OR TELEVISION OR
CABLE TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.
KAJ

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