Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE/SPARTANBURG, SC
225 PM EST THU JAN 8 1998

FFC:  50% RW/TS TONIGHT
RAH:  ALLOW FFA TO EXPIRE/PARTLY CLOUDY FRI FOOT/PIED
CAE:  INCLUDE TS TONIGHT

DISC: SCT CONVECION SHOULD DEVELOP OVER CWA LATER AND LAST THROUGH
TONIGHT AS COLD AIR ADVECTION AND DRYING AT MID AND UPPER LEVEL LEVELS
COMBINE WITH SOME SURFACE HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT ABOUT 40%
TOTAL COVERAGE OVER CWA WITH POSSIBILITY OF HAIL. INITIALLY A BRIEF
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW LOOKED POSSIBLE FOR NC MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. HOWEVER
CLOSER EXAMINATION OF MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGESTS LIMITED MOISTURE BELOW
THE -10 TO -15 TEMP THRESHOLD FOR BEST SNOW CRYSTAL FORMATION. A BRIEF
PERIOD OF FREEZING DZ APPEARS TO BE MORE LIKELY RATHER THAN SNOW. MOST
OF NC MNTS SHOULD BE AFFECTED BY WRAP AROUND MOISTURE FRI WHILE COLD
AIR ADVECTION IS OFFSET SOME BY DOWNSLOPE FLOW IN FOOT/PIED SECTIONS.

AVL  45/47/27/47  500
CLT  55/61/34/51  300
GSP  51/57/31/51  400

KAJ

SCZ001>014-019-GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-
062>072-082-090200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
607 PM EST THU JAN 8 1998

...HAIL-PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED ACROSS THE AREA
THIS EVENING...

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. HALF-INCH DIAMETER HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR NANTAHALA
AND FRANKLIN IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

CONDITIONS ARE VERY FAVORABLE THIS EVENING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO
PRODUCE HAIL. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LEVELS AND
PRODUCE DIME-SIZED OR LARGER HAIL.

SPOTTER GROUPS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ALL HAIL REPORTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

PEOPLE IN THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS EVENING.
STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET...OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION...INCLUDING ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

ZOLTOWSKI
&

END