Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Warnings in 1998
Tornado Warning 53, NWS Hastings, NE
NWS Hastings, NE issued this tornado warning at Oct 4, 1998, 3:12 PM CDT for Mitchell County, Kansas. It was in force for 63 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 4, 1998, 3:12 PM CDT (20:12 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 4, 1998, 4:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 63 min
- Issued by
- NWS Hastings, NE
- Area
- Whole counties
County Mitchell County, KS
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 3:30 PM CDT | Thunderstorm Wind 60 | Glen Elder, KS |
NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 565 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 310 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 306 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
382 WFUS1 KGRI 042014 RRA TORGRI KSC123-042115- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 312 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR PEOPLE IN... MITCHELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS * UNTIL 415 PM CDT * AT 310 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO 16 MILES WEST OF BELOIT OR 40 MILES WEST OF CONCORDIA... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. * THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR... GLEN ELDER BY 320 PM TAKE SHELTER IN A BASEMENT OR A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS DEE/RCB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 4, 2:05 AM CDT, 13 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 4, 2:05 AM CDT, 13 hours 7 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 205 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998 VERY DIFFICULT FCST AS SPRINGLIKE STORM SYSTEM EVOLVES OUT ONTO THE PLAINS TODAY. ETA/NGM HAVE SWITCHED SOLUTION N/S-WISE OF SYS W/ NGM WRAPPING IT UP IN NRN NEB...ETA NEAR SD/ND. AVN IS CLOSER TO NGM. ETA MUCH FASTER IN MOVING UPPER/SFC LO NE OF AREA & THIS SEEMS UNLIKELY GIVEN 150KT H25 JET STILL DIGGING DOWN WEST SIDE OF TROF AS OF 00Z. THIS STRONG DIGGING JET SHOULD LEAD TO A STRONGER/MORE SRN PLACED SYS AS WELL. IN FACT ...H5 UAA AND WV PIX THIS AM SUGGEST TROF IS ALREADY DEEPER THAN ANY OF THE MDLS SUGGEST. HGHT FALL PATTERNS SUPPORT A MORE SRN SOLN AS WELL W/ BULLSEYE GENERALLY IN THE 4CRNRS. PROFILERS SHOW 45LT LLJ NOW RIDING OVER H85 WARM FRONT LOCATED NEAR NEB/KS BORDER ON 00Z ANALYSIS. THE GULF IS OPEN FOR BUSINESS W/ 20C DWPT IN DRT. 10/15C INTO KS/OK. AS LLJ CONTS TO ADVEC UP OVER COOL LLVLS AND AS STRONGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW AT H5 INDICATED BY PROFILERS WORKS NE INTO AREA...EXPECT SHRA/TSRAS TO DVLP RAPIDLY BEFORE SUNRISE. THIS OVERRUNNING PRECIP IS PROGGED TO CONT FOR THE 1ST 1/2 OF DAY. SVR WX IS A THREAT...ESP TODAY IN SE CWA. ATT SFC LO OF 999 IN SE CO JUST GETTING GOING. PRES FALL PATTERN ISN/T DISTINCT YET...BUT HINTS AT A TRACK TOWARD LBF OR SO. SUCH A TRACK WOULD BRING PORTIONS OF SE CWA INTO WARM SECTOR BY THIS AFTN & ALSO DRAG A STRONG DRYLINE INTO THE AREA. GIVEN THIS...WILL LIKELY WORD SVR STORMS PSBL IN A HANDFUL OF CNTYS IN THE SE. WITH RAPIDLY DEEPENING SYS...WINDS WILL ALSO BE A BIG CONCERN BOTH W/ SE WINDS TODAY...AND ESP SW TONIGHT/TOMR AS DRYSLOT PUNCHES THRU CWA. WILL WORD FCST AS WINDY SOUTH...BECOMING WINDY NORTH THEN WINDY TNGT & TOMR. PRECIP CHCS SHOULD TAPER OFF TONIGHT/TOMR. LOCATION OF UPPER LO WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT AS TO AMT OF WRAPAROUND SHRAS. WILL LEAVE TOKEN 30S AS I EXPECT A SRN POSITION. CONFIDENCE IS LOW HWVR. LAST...BUT NOT LEAST...TEMPS WILL BE A BEAR AS WELL W/ A BIG BUST POTENTIAL IN SRN ZONES. IF DRYSLOTTED BY AFTN...80S NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN NC KS. WILL UP CURRENT FCST SIGNIFICANTLY AND GO AT LEAST AS WARM AS FWCS 70ISH. ELSEWHERE...WILL JUST BALLPARK TEMPS FROM THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S BOTH DAYS WITH A LOW TONIGHT AROUND 50 GIVE OR TAKE 3 DEGREES. .GID...NONE. GURNEY
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 4, 11:49 AM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-051200- SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1149 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998 ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PART OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS... SPOTTER ACTIVATION....SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SYNOPSIS.... SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL KANSAS...AND THEN MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY...BRINGING A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INGREDIENTS FOR THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL COME TOGETHER AS THIS OCCURS. DESPITE THE CLOUD COVER AND COOL TEMPERATURES...VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG JET STREAM TO RESULT IN LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN A FEW TORNADOES. THE STORMS SHOULD INITIALLY FORM NEAR INTERSTATE 70 AFTER 2 PM...THEN MOVE NORTH OR NORTHEAST AT 40 TO 50 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD REACH AS FAR NORTH AS INTERSTATE 80 BY 4 PM AND THEN TRACK INTO THE ORD AND GREELEY AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WHERE MORE MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE. DDN
Special weather statement, Oct 4, 11:49 AM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-051200- SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1149 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998 ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PART OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS... SPOTTER ACTIVATION....SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SYNOPSIS.... SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL KANSAS...AND THEN MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY...BRINGING A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INGREDIENTS FOR THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL COME TOGETHER AS THIS OCCURS. DESPITE THE CLOUD COVER AND COOL TEMPERATURES...VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG JET STREAM TO RESULT IN LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN A FEW TORNADOES. THE STORMS SHOULD INITIALLY FORM NEAR INTERSTATE 70 AFTER 2 PM...THEN MOVE NORTH OR NORTHEAST AT 40 TO 50 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD REACH AS FAR NORTH AS INTERSTATE 80 BY 4 PM AND THEN TRACK INTO THE ORD AND GREELEY AREAS EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WHERE MORE MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE. DDN
Special weather statement, Oct 4, 2:20 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-051200- SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 220 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998 ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PART OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS... SPOTTER ACTIVATION....SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SYNOPSIS.... SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL KANSAS...AND THEN MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY...BRINGING A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INGREDIENTS FOR THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL COME TOGETHER AS THIS OCCURS. DESPITE THE CLOUD COVER AND COOL TEMPERATURES...VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG JET STREAM TO RESULT IN LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN A FEW TORNADOES. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EAST OF A LINE FROM OSBORNE KANSAS...TO KEARNEY...TO ORD. DDN
Special weather statement, Oct 4, 2:20 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-051200- SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 220 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998 ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PART OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS... SPOTTER ACTIVATION....SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SYNOPSIS.... SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL KANSAS...AND THEN MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY...BRINGING A WARM FRONT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INGREDIENTS FOR THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL COME TOGETHER AS THIS OCCURS. DESPITE THE CLOUD COVER AND COOL TEMPERATURES...VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG JET STREAM TO RESULT IN LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN A FEW TORNADOES. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EAST OF A LINE FROM OSBORNE KANSAS...TO KEARNEY...TO ORD. DDN
The office that day
Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne | 67 min |
| Oct 4, 2:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell | 54 min |
| Oct 4, 2:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Mitchell | 66 min |
| Oct 4, 3:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell | 35 min |
| Oct 4, 3:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | GID | Jewell | 46 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Kansas, 1998Every tornado warning in 1998Tornadoes in 1998
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.