Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1998

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 19, 1998Gila County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 1998, 3:37 PM MST for Gila County, Navajo County, Arizona. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 1998, 3:37 PM MST (22:37 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 1998, 4:25 PM MST
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties

Counties Gila County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 1998-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 84 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 1998-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
84 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-338 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2314 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
214 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

The text of this product is not in the archive. The NWS text archive before 2002 is incomplete.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 2:00 PM MST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 2:00 PM MST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
200 PM MST SUN JUL 19 1998

SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE STATE WILL CONTINUE
A GENERAL EASTERLY FLOW OVER ARIZONA. THIS WILL BRING SOME MOISTURE
INTO THE REGION FROM NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS...RESULTING IN ISOLATED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

DISCUSSION...MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH SE AZ AT THIS TIME.
CONVECTION OVER MOGOLLON RIM DEVELOPED A BIT LATER THAN FCSTED...BUT
HAS DEVELOPED QUITE RAPIDLY. NEAR THE BORDER...STORMS HAVE BEEN
ENHANCED BY S/W WHICH IS IN THE AREA.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO REMAIN IN PLACE...AS THEIR WILL BE LITTLE
CHANGE IN THE OVERAL PATTERN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MODELS ALL SEEM TO BE
HANDLING LARGER SCALE FAIRLY WELL...BUT ARE SHOWING CONSIDERABLE
DIFFERENCES WITH FINER SCALE FEATURES. STANDARD MONSOON SEASON
WEATHER WILL BE THE RULE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
MCGRATVH
FLG 312  INW 111
FLG...NONE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 1:28 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino47 min
Jul 19, 1:57 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila48 min
Jul 19, 4:04 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai51 min
Jul 19, 4:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo49 min
Jul 19, 4:37 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila48 min
Jul 19, 4:50 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 1998Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.