Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 22, 1998Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 22, 1998, 3:50 PM MST for Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 22, 1998, 3:50 PM MST (22:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 22, 1998, 5:50 PM MST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 33 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 1998-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 275 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 1998-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
275 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
796 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

The text of this product is not in the archive. The NWS text archive before 2002 is incomplete.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 22, 2:00 PM MST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 2:00 PM MST, 1 hour 50 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
200 PM MST WED JUL 22 1998

SYNOPSIS...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED OVER NORTHERN
ARIZONA THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AS A RESULT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH MID EVENING
EACH DAY...WITH THE MOST ACTIVITY OCCURRING FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM
INTO YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTIES. THE MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER WILL
LEAD TO HIGH TEMPERATURES A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.

DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS OVER CWA ATTM. HEAVY RAIN BUT NO
HAIL REPORTS. QUITE A BIT OF ACTIVITY UPSTREAM AS WELL. REPORTS OF
VERY HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIAL FLOOD PROBLEMS...SO OFFICE CONSENSUS IS
TO GO WITH FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL BUT NE ZONES. LIKELY THERE WILL
BE AT LEAST ONE MINOR PERTURBATION TO KEEP CONVECTION GOING INTO
EVENING...WOULD EXPECT AREAL COVERAGE TO DROP OFF SOME AFTER SUNSET
THOUGH.  FOR LATER PERIODS...DEEPEST MOISTURE AXIS GENERALLY OVR
SOUTHWEST THIRD OF STATE AND SEE NO REASON NOT TO GO WITH A
PERSISTENT MONSOON FORECAST...ZNS 8...15...16 AND 18 THE WETTEST...NE
CORNER DRIEST BUT STILL ACTIVE.

FLG 463  INW 312
BET
FLG...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TIL 10 PM MST FOR ZNS 4>8...12>18.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 5:28 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo47 min
Jul 21, 6:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo50 min
Jul 21, 7:05 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo30 min
Jul 22, 11:55 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino50 min
Jul 22, 12:25 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino115 min
Jul 22, 12:54 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino2 hr
Jul 22, 1:32 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.