Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1998

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 169, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 18, 1998Beltrami County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 18, 1998, 3:16 PM CDT for Beltrami County, Minnesota. It was in force for 44 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 18, 1998, 3:16 PM CDT (20:16 UTC)
Expired: Jul 18, 1998, 4:00 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area: Whole counties

County Beltrami County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 185 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 18, 3:27 PM CDT	Thunderstorm Wind	Hines, MN	Power lines were blown down at Hines.
Jul 18, 3:27 PM CDT	Hail 0.75	Tenstrike, MN

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 10 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -31 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1148 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 152 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

309 
WUUS1 KFAR 182017 RRA
SVRFAR
MNC007-182100-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
316 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN BELTRAMI COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 315 PM CDT...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDER-
  STORM NEAR THE TOWN OF ISLAND LAKE...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  BEMIDJI. THE STORM WAS MOVING SOUTH AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TENSTRIKE AND TURTLE RIVER AT 330 PM CDT
  BEMIDJI AT 340 PM CDT

DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND TORNADOES ARE
ALL POSSIBLE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A REINFORCED
BUILDING IMMEDIATELY

RA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 18, 2:58 PM CDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 2:58 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
258 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 1998

DUE TO PREVIOUS SVR WEATHER...DISCUSSION WL BE SHORT.  PROBLEM FOR
TONIGHT CONTINUES TO BE SEVERE POTENTIAL.  AT 19Z...SFC TROUGH WAS FROM
PEMBINA INTO SC ND.  AHEAD OF TROUGH...SKIES HAVE CLEARED IN ALL BY
EXTREME EASTERN ZONES WHERE CONVECTION CONTINUES.  WITH DEW POINTS IN
U60 TO L70S...80 KT H3 JET APPROACHING AND SFC BOUNDARY...EXPECT CAP TO
BE BROKEN LATER THIS EVENING IN SE ND.  AS NOTED IN SPC DISC...GOOD
VEERING AHEAD OF TROUGH SO SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND EVEN
ISOL TORNADO. IN ADDITION...PW/S GRTN 1.6 IN IN SE ND AND WC MN SHOW
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.  SINCE INITIATION WL LIKELY BE OVR SE
ND...EXPECT HEAVY RAIN TO BE VERY SCATTERED AND NOT CAUSE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING POBLEMS.  HOWEVER...AS MCS FORM LATER IN EVENING...HEAVY RAIN
ON VERY WET SOILS IN WC MN COULD CAUSE SOME FLASH FLOODING.  SO AGREE
WITH MSP IN CONT FFA FOR WC MN COUNTIES FOR TNGT.

ACRS NE ND...FRONTAL PASSAGE LOOKS TO BE TOO EARLY FOR CONVECTION TO NW
OF LINE FROM GRAFTON PEMBINA TO COOPERSTOWN.  AND ONLY EXPECT ISOL
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS IN GFK/MAYVILL AREA.  BETTER CHC BEFORE MIDNIGHTV
ACROSS NW MN AS ATMOS CONTINUES TO HEAT AND UPPER/LOWER LEVEL DYNAMICS
COME INTO PHASE.  AS FOR LOWS...COOLEST TOWARD DVL IN A60 WITH M-U60S
IN SRN ZONES.

THANKS MSP FOR COORD.  WL CONTACT BIS ABOUT ZFP SHORTLY.

SCHUMACHER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 18, 2:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

TTAA00 KFAR181912
07/18/98   GRIGGS

0910 AM    4NE TOWER CITY            ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   CASS

0915 AM    FORDVILLE                 ND   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   WALSH

0925 AM    1S ENDERLIN               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RANSOM

0935 AM    MCLEOD                    ND   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RANSOM

0939 AM    4N WYNDMERE               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RICHLAND

0957 AM    3SE LEONARD               ND   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RICHLAND

1015 AM    GREAT BEND                ND   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RICHLAND
1104 AM    3W FAIRMOUNT              ND   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RICHLAND

1136 AM    LANCASTER                 MN   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   KITTSON

1145 AM    4N 2.5W LANCASTER         MN   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   KITTSON

1149 AM    HERMAN                    MN   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   GRANT

1230 PM    BADGER                    MN   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   ROSEAU

KELLENBENZ

Local storm report, Jul 18, 2:16 PM CDT, 1 hour before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS
214 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0800 AM    MT. CARMEL                ND   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   CAVALIER

0805 AM    VALLEY CITY               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   BARNES

0815 AM    TOLNA                     ND   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   BENSON

0820 AM    ORISKA                    ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   BARNES

0830 AM    HANNAFORD                 ND   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   GRIGGS

0910 AM    4NE TOWER CITY            ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   CASS

0915 AM    FORDVILLE                 ND   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   WALSH

0925 AM    1S ENDERLIN               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RANSOM

0935 AM    MCLEOD                    ND   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RANSOM

0939 AM    4N WYNDMERE               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RICHLAND

0957 AM    3SE LEONARD               ND   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RICHLAND

1015 AM    GREAT BEND                ND   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RICHLAND

1104 AM    3W FAIRMOUNT              ND   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   RICHLAND

1136 AM    LANCASTER                 MN   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   KITTSON

1145 AM    4N 2.5W LANCASTER         MN   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   KITTSON

1149 AM    HERMAN                    MN   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   GRANT

1230 PM    BADGER                    MN   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   ROSEAU

KELLENBENZ

Local storm report, Jul 18, 2:20 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS
220 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0925 AM    1N ENDERLIN               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   CASS

KELLENBENZ

Local storm report, Jul 18, 2:20 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS
220 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0925 AM    1N ENDERLIN               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/18/98   CASS

KELLENBENZ

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 3:16 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052-053-181200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
316 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 1998

...THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES FOR PARTS OF EASTERN
NORTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN MINNESOTA...

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
HALLOCK TO JAMESTOWN.  MORE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.  THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.  HOWEVER...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

A FRONT EXTENDED FROM NEAR HALLOCK TO BISMARCK THIS AFTERNOON.  AHEAD
OF THIS FRONT...TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S WITH DEW
POINTS AROUND 70 DEGREES.  AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THIS UNSTABLE AIR
MASS...MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 4 PM ALONG THE
FRONT.  THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA EARLY THIS EVENING.  SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MORE
ISOLATED ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA.  AS STORM ORGANIZE LATER IN THE EVENING...THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.  IN ADDITION TO THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES...HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
IN FERGUS FALLS AND ELBOW LAKE AREAS.  THEREFORE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TONIGHT ACROSS THIS REGION.^

SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP RAPIDLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  STAY TUNED TO
LOCAL MEDIA FOR ANY WATCHES AND WARNINGS THAT ARE ISSUED.

SCHUMACHER

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 3:16 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052-053-181200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
316 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 1998

...THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES FOR PARTS OF EASTERN
NORTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN MINNESOTA...

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
HALLOCK TO JAMESTOWN.  MORE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.  THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.  HOWEVER...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

A FRONT EXTENDED FROM NEAR HALLOCK TO BISMARCK THIS AFTERNOON.  AHEAD
OF THIS FRONT...TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S WITH DEW
POINTS AROUND 70 DEGREES.  AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THIS UNSTABLE AIR
MASS...MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 4 PM ALONG THE
FRONT.  THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA EARLY THIS EVENING.  SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MORE
ISOLATED ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA.  AS STORM ORGANIZE LATER IN THE EVENING...THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.  IN ADDITION TO THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES...HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
IN FERGUS FALLS AND ELBOW LAKE AREAS.  THEREFORE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TONIGHT ACROSS THIS REGION.^

SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP RAPIDLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  STAY TUNED TO
LOCAL MEDIA FOR ANY WATCHES AND WARNINGS THAT ARE ISSUED.

SCHUMACHER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 18, 11:07 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Wilkin	33 min
Jul 18, 11:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Grant	34 min
Jul 18, 11:44 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Kittson	31 min
Jul 18, 12:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Kittson, Roseau	50 min
Jul 18, 5:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FGF	Pennington	31 min
Jul 18, 5:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FGF	Pennington	34 min
Jul 18, 6:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Red Lake	49 min
Jul 18, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Polk	32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 1998 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.