Alert archive / Minnesota / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 7, 1998Otter Tail County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this flash flood warning at Jul 7, 1998, 6:58 AM CDT for Otter Tail County, Minnesota. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 1998, 6:58 AM CDT (11:58 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 1998, 7:55 AM CDT
In force
57 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Whole counties

County Otter Tail County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 175 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 239 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 1998-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 585 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 1998-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -9 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
585 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
755 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KFAR 071159
FFWFAR
MNC111-071255-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
658 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN OTTER TAIL COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA

* UNTIL 755 AM CDT

* AT 655 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
  WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN EXTENDED ACROSS NORTHERN OTTER TAIL COUNTY
  FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF FERGUS FALLS NEAR PELICAN RAPIDS...TO 40
  MILES NORTHEAST OF FERGUS FALLS NEAR NEW YORK MILLS MOVING EAST AT
  20 MPH.

* LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS IN OTTER TAIL COUNTY REPORTED A WASH OUT
  ON HIGHWAY 108 5 TO 6 MILES EAST OF PELICAN RAPIDS. DOPPLER RADAR
  ESTIMATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN...WITH
  ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED.

MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ONE OR TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
FLOAT MOST CARS DOWNSTREAM.

&
RA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 7, 3:00 AM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 3:00 AM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
300 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 1998

FORECAST PROBLEM FOR TODAY IS PCPN. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUD
TOPS ON AREAS OF TSRA IN CWFA WARMING. KMVX HAS TWO AREAS OF TSRA...ONE
IN NE NE AND ANOTHER IN SE ND...MOVING E-NE AT 20 MPH. ALTHOUGH THETA-E
RIDGE REMAINS TO THE WEST OF THE CWFA AT THIS TIME...CONVERGENCE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF TROF AND VCNTY OF SHORTWAVE HAVE PRODUCED TSRA WITH HEAVY
RAIN. WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE CWFA GETTING HEAVY RAIN THE PAST FEW
DAYS...THE SOIL IS SATURATED AND FFG VALUES AT AN INCH OR LESS.

MODELS SIMILAR IN MOVING SHORTWAVE AND TROF ACROSS E ND THIS MORNING
AND THROUGH MOST OF MN SIDE OF CWFA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SFC DEWPOINTS
REMAINING IN THE 60S...DECENT K-INDEX VALUES...AND THETA-E RIDGE MOVING
INTO E ND...EXPECT TSRA TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AS MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS CWFA.  ALSO WITH SHORTWAVE STILL IN VCNTY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...AREAS THAT SEE SUN TODAY COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL SHRA AND
TSRA.  WITH STORMS PRETTY LOCALIZED...DO NOT BELIEVE THAT FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS NEEDED AT THIS TIME.  SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE SITUATION WITH
MOSTLY URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES. FORECAST SUGGESTIONS
THAT FOLLOW ARE PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE FOR COORDINATION ONLY.  OFFICIAL
FORECASTS ARE CONTAINED IN BISZFPND AND MSPZFPMN.

FOR ND:  DVL:  SCATTERED TSRA...SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN...THIS MORNING
               THEN MC THIS AFTERNOON...HIGH AROUND 75...WIND BECMG NW
               5 TO 15.
         GFK:  MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCT TSRA...SOME WITH HEAVY
               RAIN...HIGH 75 TO 80...LIGHT WIND BECMG NW 5 TO 15.
         FAR:  MOSTLY CLOUDY SCT TSRA...SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN...HIGH
               AROUND 80...LIGHT SE WIND BECMG NW 5 TO 15 THIS
               AFTERNOON.

FOR MN:  HCO/ROX/FGN/FSE/TVF/FSE/BJI MNZ004>009-013>017:  MC WITH
             SCT TSRA...SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN...HIGH AROUND 75...LIGHT
             SE WIND BECMG NW 5 TO 15 THIS AFTERNOON.
         DTL/PKD/FFM MNZ022>024-027>032-040: MC WITH SCT TSRA...SOME
             WITH HEAVY RAIN...HIGH 75 TO 80...LIGHT SE WIND BECMG NW
             AT 5 TO 15 THIS AFTERNOON.

NG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 7, 6:45 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052-053-072100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
645 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 1998

...NO SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST
AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA TODAY...

A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE...EXTENDING THROUGH THE RED RIVER VALLEY...WILL
CONTINUE MOVING EAST TODAY...PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN.  AFTER THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PASS THIS MORNING...
SOME SUN CAN BE ANTICIPATED BEFORE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.  ALTHOUGH NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...HEAVY
RAINS FROM SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD4 CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWESTERN
MINNESOTA IS ISSUED DAILY BY 7 AM FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
GRAND FORKS.
NG
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 6:45 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052-053-072100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
645 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 1998

...NO SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST
AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA TODAY...

A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE...EXTENDING THROUGH THE RED RIVER VALLEY...WILL
CONTINUE MOVING EAST TODAY...PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN.  AFTER THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PASS THIS MORNING...
SOME SUN CAN BE ANTICIPATED BEFORE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.  ALTHOUGH NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...HEAVY
RAINS FROM SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD4 CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWESTERN
MINNESOTA IS ISSUED DAILY BY 7 AM FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
GRAND FORKS.
NG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 7:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFOtter Tail59 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.