Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 228, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

November 12, 1998Fayette County, Gonzales County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this flash flood warning at Nov 12, 1998, 7:14 AM CST for Fayette County, Gonzales County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 12, 1998, 7:14 AM CST (13:14 UTC)
Expired
Nov 12, 1998, 10:15 AM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Whole counties

Counties Fayette County, TX, Gonzales County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 1998-11-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1921 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 1998-11-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 193 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1921 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
472 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
262 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.6
Supercell composite
14.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KSAT 121323 COR
FFWSAT
TXC149-177-121615-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
714 AM CST THU NOV 12 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  FAYETTE IN TEXAS
  GONZALES IN TEXAS

* UNTIL 1015 AM CST

* AT 700 AM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER CENTRAL AND
  SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GONZALES AND FAYETTE COUNTIES MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* DOPPER RADAR ESTIMATES AROUND 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN NEAR
  SMILEY IN GONZALES COUNTY AND NEAR FLATONIA IN FAYETTE COUNTY
  DURING THE PAST TWO HOURS.  RADAR SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY
  HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING TO TRAIN ACROSS THESE SAME AREAS WITH AN
  ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE.  WITH GROUNDS ALREADY
  NEAR SATURATION... FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS LIKELY.

SECONDARY ROADS AN4D LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL FLOOD THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...BECOMING EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO MOTORISTS.  DRIVERS SHOULD
USE CARE NOT TO ENTER FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS.  REMEMBER... MOST
DEATHS IN FLASH FLOODING OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

18

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Nov 11, 8:15 PM CST, 10 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 8:15 PM CST, 10 hours 59 minutes before
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
815 PM CST WED NOV 11 1998

SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUES OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. SURFACE MAP INDICATING A VERY SLOW MOVING WARM
FRONT SOMEWHERE BETWEEN BRO AND CRP. NO WIND SHIFT NOTED...ONLY A
VERY GRADUAL VEERING OF THE WINDS...NOW MAINLY NORTHEASTERLY OVER
THE AREA...AND RELATIVELY LIGHT. EVENING SOUNDING SHOWED SATURATION
UP THRU ABOUT 10K FEET...SO MOISTURE LAYER IS RATHER DEEP. 18Z
MESOETA SHOWING PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL THRU THE NIGHT AND TOMORROW.
SO BASED ON WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW...MESOETA AND THE LIKE...WILL NOT
TINKER WITH THE OVERNIGHT POPS. WILL MAKE SOME SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO
MINIMUMS AND WINDS ONLY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NEEDS TO REMAIN AS WINDS AND SEAS STILL ABOVE
CRITERIA.

VALONE...61

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 12, 6:00 AM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-130000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
600 AM CST WED NOV 12 1998

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE
HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
A JARRELL TO SAN ANTONIO TO HONDO TO COTULLA LINE THIS AFTERNOON
AND FOR ALL OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT...

A MID NOVEMBER WEATHER SYSTEM INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL PLUME OF
MOISTURE WILL BRING A THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING TO THE HILL
COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEAVY RAINS GRADUALLY
SPREADING INTO THE HILL COUNTRY BY TONIGHT.  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT WITH UP TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NORMALLY WILL BE UPDATED BY MEANS OF
THE ZONE FORECASTS...SHORT TERM FORECAST...WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND
ADVISORIES.  THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK ITSELF WILL BE UPDATED
ONLY IF UNEXPECTED HAZARDOUS WEATHER DEVELOPS OF IF EXPECTED
HAZARDOUS WEATHER NO LONGER IS FORECAST TO  DEVELOP.

NEARBY HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS INCLUDE:
FOR SOUTHWEST TEXAS...FROM MIDLAND...LBBSPSMAF
FOR THE CONCHO VALLEY...FROM SAN ANGELO...LBBSPSSJT
FOR NORTH TEXAS...FROM FORTH WORTH...FTWSPSFTW
FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...FROM HOUSTON/GALVESTON...SATSPSHOU
FOR COASTAL BEND/RIO GRANDE PLAINS...FROM CORPUS CHRISTI...SATSPSCRP
Special weather statement, Nov 12, 6:00 AM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-130000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
600 AM CST WED NOV 12 1998

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE
HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
A JARRELL TO SAN ANTONIO TO HONDO TO COTULLA LINE THIS AFTERNOON
AND FOR ALL OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT...

A MID NOVEMBER WEATHER SYSTEM INTERACTING WITH A TROPICAL PLUME OF
MOISTURE WILL BRING A THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING TO THE HILL
COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEAVY RAINS GRADUALLY
SPREADING INTO THE HILL COUNTRY BY TONIGHT.  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT WITH UP TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NORMALLY WILL BE UPDATED BY MEANS OF
THE ZONE FORECASTS...SHORT TERM FORECAST...WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND
ADVISORIES.  THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK ITSELF WILL BE UPDATED
ONLY IF UNEXPECTED HAZARDOUS WEATHER DEVELOPS OF IF EXPECTED
HAZARDOUS WEATHER NO LONGER IS FORECAST TO  DEVELOP.

NEARBY HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS INCLUDE:
FOR SOUTHWEST TEXAS...FROM MIDLAND...LBBSPSMAF
FOR THE CONCHO VALLEY...FROM SAN ANGELO...LBBSPSSJT
FOR NORTH TEXAS...FROM FORTH WORTH...FTWSPSFTW
FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...FROM HOUSTON/GALVESTON...SATSPSHOU
FOR COASTAL BEND/RIO GRANDE PLAINS...FROM CORPUS CHRISTI...SATSPSCRP

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.