Severe Thunderstorm Warning 189, NWS Kansas City, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
130 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 1998

THO HEAT STILL A CONCERN TDA...FCST PROBLEM HAS SHIFTED TO PCP PSBLTY
AND POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.

VERY STG CAP HAS SLOWLY WEAKENED PAST 12 HOURS WITH MDL GRIDDS
CONTINUING TO SHOW WEAKENING TREND THROUGH NGT. ETA BUILDS CAP BACK
INTO AREA MON AFTN...BUT LOOKS A LTL TOO STRONG...PROBABLY DUE TO
TOO MUCH WARMING IN HI PLAINS. REGARDLESS...FRONT IN COMBINATION
WITH VERY HI DWPTS EXTREME...WK SHRTWV AND DIFFLUENT UPR FLO ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF TRW IN VICINITY OF FRONT VERY  THIS AFTN
ACR XTRM NW MO. AGREE WITH SPC THAT DEVELOPMENT OF MCS IS LIKELY
WITH INITIAL DEVELOPMENT CRITICAL AS MBE VECTOR DENOTES S/SE
DEVELOPMENT. XPCT MCS TO DEVELOP ACR NWRN MO...AND WITH VERY HI
PRECIP WATER VALUES AND LO FFG...PLAN TO ISSUE FFA FOR NRN 2/3RDS OF
CWA FOR TNGT.

PRECIP TO END DURING EARLY AM HOURS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR RECOVERY
OF THE AIR MASS DEPENDING UPON OUTFLO BOUNDARIES. MDLS SIMILIAR IN
POSITION OF STNRY FRONT ALONG IA/MO BDR AT 00Z TUES. POSITION
APPEARS REASONABLE BUT TNGTS CONVECTION WL HAVE MAJOR INFLUENCE ON
POSITION OF REDEVELOPMENT LATE MON AFTN. WL GO WITH MDL POSITION AT
THIS TIME AS LATE JUN INSOLATION WL LIKELY ALLOW FOR RAPID RECOVERY
OF AIR MASS. XPCT DEVELOPMENT ONCE AGAIN IN VICINITY OF FRONT DURING
LATE AFTN OR EVE HOURS AS CAP WL PRECLUDE DEVELOMENT UNTIL THAT TIME.

SHRTWV ROTATING SE ACR NRN/CNTRL PLAINS MON NGT SHOULD PUSH FRONT
INTO SRN CWA BY 12Z TUES. COOLING AND DRYING BEHIND FRONT WL BE
SLOW...BUT NRN ZONES WL LIKELY GET BREAK FROM EXCESSIVE HEAT AND
HUMIDITY.

DO NOT PLAN ON CARRYING HEAT ADV ACR NRN 2/3RDS OF CWA TNGT AND SUN
DUE TO COOLING TNGT ASSCD WITH CONVECTION AND POTENTIAL FOR HEAT
INDICES TO BE JUST BLO CRITERIA ON MON DUE TO OUTFLO BOUNDARIES AND
CLD CVR. MIDNIGHT SHIFT WL HAVE TO TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT THIS AREA
FOR POTENTIAL OF A HEAT ADVISORY ON MON. ACR SRN CWA...WL CONTINUE
HEAT ADVISORY THROUGH MON.

.EAX...
MO...HEAT ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MOZ043>046-053-054
KS...HEAT ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY
KSZ057-060
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH
MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH
KSZ102>105-025

DB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1020 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCAHTION....

1005 PM    TINDALL                   MO    1.75 INCH HAIL
06/28/98   GRUNDY                          REPORT RELAYED BY KTTN
                                           RADIO

HUDSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1113 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1108 PM    4 W KIRKSVILLE            MO    1 INCH HAIL
06/28/98   ADAIR                           HAIL SIZE CONTINUES TO
                                           INCREASE. REPORT FROM
                                           ADAIR SOr.

HUDSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1113 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1108 PM    4 W KIRKSVILLE            MO    1 INCH HAIL
06/28/98   ADAIR                           HAIL SIZE CONTINUES TO
                                           INCREASE. REPORT FROM
                                           ADAIR SOr.

HUDSON

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-290630-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL/KANSAS CITY MO
1225 AM CDT MON JUN 29 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 697 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM
FOR FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 693 FOR THE AREA IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THIS TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 697...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM.  LOCATIONS ALONG AND
NORTH OF A KANSAS CITY METRO TO FAYETTE LINE ARE INCLUDED IN THIS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. ALL WATCHES HAVE BEEN DROPPED FOR
RESIDENTS SOUTH OF THIS LINE.

DJV

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-290630-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL/KANSAS CITY MO
1225 AM CDT MON JUN 29 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 697 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM
FOR FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 693 FOR THE AREA IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THIS TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 697...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM.  LOCATIONS ALONG AND
NORTH OF A KANSAS CITY METRO TO FAYETTE LINE ARE INCLUDED IN THIS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. ALL WATCHES HAVE BEEN DROPPED FOR
RESIDENTS SOUTH OF THIS LINE.

DJV

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