Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Kansas City, MO

July 4, 19984 counties in Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this flash flood warning at Jul 4, 1998, 2:15 AM CDT for 4 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 1998, 2:15 AM CDT (07:15 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 1998, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Area
Whole counties

Counties Adair County, MO, Linn County, MO, Macon County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 182 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 265 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 1998-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1700 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 1998-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1700 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1022 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
7.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KSTL 040717
FFWMCI
MOC001-115-121-211-041100-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY-PLEASANT HILL MO
215 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
     MACON COUNTY IN MISSOURI
     LINN COUNTY IN MISSOURI
     ADAIR COUNTY IN MISSOURI
     SULLIVAN COUNTY IN MISSOURI
     INCLUDING KIRKSVILLE

* UNTIL 600 AM CDT

* AT 210 AM CDT WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY   
RAIN...OVER AN INCH AND ONE-HALF AN HOUR...STRETCHING FROM HARRIS AND 
NEWTOWN ...SOUTH TO EVERSONVILLE ...THEN EAST SPERRY AND TENMILE. 
LARGER LARGER CITIES COVERED BY HEAVY RAIN INCLUDE 
KIRKSVILLE...MILAN ...LINNEAS AND MACON.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...BUT WERE 
REDEVELOPING BACK OVER THE SAME AREAS. RADAR ESTIMATES OF 4 TO 5 
INCHES OF RAIN FROM SOUTHWEST OF BOYTON IN SULLIVAN COUNTY TO 
SOUTHWEST OF KIRKSVILLE AN NEAR LA PLATA SINCE MIDNIGHT.


* THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE...

PRODUCING ADDITIONAL RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES AN HOUR 
THROUGH AT ACROSS MOST OF SULLIVAN AND ADAIR COUNTIES THROUGH 430 
AM...AND ACROSS LINN AND MACON COUNTIES THROUGH 530 AM.
 
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER 
LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLASH FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

SMITH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 3, 2:49 PM CDT, 11 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 2:49 PM CDT, 11 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
249 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 1998

LOOKING RATHER WET FOR THE NEXT SVRL DAYS. MRNG CNVTN OVR IA/NRN HLF MO
HAS TEMPORARILY DISTORTED SFC PAT. LINGERING SHWRS/CLD DEBRIS WILL EXIT
FAR ERN CNTYS SHORTLY AFT ZONE ISSUANCE TIME WHILE SCT TSTMS IN THE NW
COULD LAST LONGER. SOME PESKY ISOLD CNVTN ALSO OCRG ON ACRS SRN CNTYS
AS OUTFLOW BNDRY DISSIPATES.

PRIMARY CONCERN/HVY RAIN THREAT APRS IT WILL FOCUS ON NRN MO NWD.
PREFER ETA MODEL OVERALL AS IT HANDLES LLVL MSTR BTR. STILL THERE IS
THE DRIER AIR FM CNTRL KS W AND SW TO BE CONCERNED ABT. AFTN QPF UPDATE
ADDRESSES THIS PTNL PROBLEM. FOR NOW THERE ARE TOO MANY FACTORS
POINTING TO A NOCTURNAL MCS DVLPG OVR CNTRL OR SRN NEB AS SLY LLVL JET
REFORMS OVR KS AND NOSES INTO SWD MOVG CDFNT. WK VORT LOBE OVR ERN CO
EXPCD TO AID CNVTV DVLPMT TNGT AS IT TOPS MID LVL UPR RDG. PLACEMENT OF
UPR RDG...APCHG WK MID LVL FEATURE...SFC BNDRY TO FOCUS CNVTN...AND
POOLING OF LLVL MSTR SUG THE PTNL FOR LCLLY HVY RAINS OVR FAR NRN MO.
COORD WITH STL/TOP/DSM AND WILL ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TNGT THRU
SAT MRNG. NCEP QPF ALSO HIGHLIGHTS THIS AREA AND AGREE WITH THEM.
EXPCD CNVTN/CLDNS WILL ALSO PLAY HAVOC WITH TEMPS AND NGM/ETA 2M TEMPS
REFLECT THIS.

MAY SEE A REPEAT OF NOCTURNAL STORMS SAT NGT/SUN MRNG. BOTH ETA/NGM
HINT AT THIS AND GIVEN FLOW PAT SEE NO REASON TO DISAGREE. WILL GO WITH
LIKELY POPS THIS PD.

THEN TROPICjAL SYS MVG N THRU TX WL BEAR WATCHING FOR THE END OF THE
WEEKEND INTO MON.

.EAX...
.MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TNGT/SAT MRNG FOR NRN MO...N OF A STJ TO
MACON LN.
.KS...NONE

JULY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 3:23 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXGentry, Harrison, Worth3 hr
Jul 4, 5:57 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAdair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan4 hr
Jul 4, 5:59 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXGentry, Harrison, Worth4 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.