Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1998

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 88, NWS State College, PA

June 2, 1998Warren County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 2, 1998, 4:29 PM EDT for Warren County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 66 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 1998, 4:29 PM EDT (20:29 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 1998, 5:35 PM EDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Whole counties

County Warren County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 2, 4:50 PM EDTThunderstorm Wind 51Sugar Grove, PA
Jun 2, 5:15 PM EDTHail 1.75Scandia, PA

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 2, 4:15 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 198 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1267 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KCTP 022029 RRA
SVRCTP
PAC123-022115-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
429 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
  
* UNTIL 535 PM EDT

* AT 425 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ENTERING THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF WARREN
  COUNTY. THE THUNDERSTORM WAS MOVING TO THE EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LOTTSVILLE AND SUGAR GROVE AT 445 PM EDT
  RUSSEL AT 455 PM EDT

GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS! A TORNADO
WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. REMEMBER...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND
OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.


IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER FROM THE WEATHER IN A
STRONG BUILDING.  DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...VERY H*EAVY RAIN AND
DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  STAY
INSIDE AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAMBERT/DANGELO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 2, 12:22 PM EDT, 4 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 12:22 PM EDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1225 PM EDT TUE JUNE 2 1998

...WILL SEND OUT A SET OF WRKZNS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...

STILL NOT SURE IF DYNAMICS CAN PHASE WITH THE MOISTURE
...BUT LETS HOPE NOT.

ANYWAY...WILL NOT MAKE A LOT OF CHANGES TO ZNS...MAINLY
PUT SOME CLDS IN S ZNS WED...AND SHOWERS WED NIGHT S OF ABOUT
I-80.

THINK FWC NUMBERS LOOK TO COOL FOR WED...THINK THICK
CLDS WILL HOLD OFF TO LATER IN THE DAY.

MAYBE WE CAN HAVE A GOOD DAY THU.

MARTIN

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 2, 10:55 AM EDT, 5 hours 34 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-021700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR CENTRAL PA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1055 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 1998

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

ANOTHER POTENTIALLY VOLATILE WEATHER SITUATION IS SHAPING UP FOR
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
TRACKS EAST TOWARD PENNSYLVANIA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TRACK EAST
ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AFTER
3 PM...AND EAST OF THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AFTER 5 PM. STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A SOUTHWEST WIND WILL BRING INCREASINGLY MOIST UNSTABLE AIR NORTH
ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WHEN
A COLD FRONT REACHES THE UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. ALL PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN
IN TOUCH WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS. A SEVERE
THNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED IF AND WHEN CONDITIONS
BECOME FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER. WARNINGS
WILL BE ISSUED IF AND WHEN SEVERE WEATHER BECOMES IMMINENT OR IS
OBSERVED.

SKYWARN ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

MSE
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 10:55 AM EDT, 5 hours 34 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-022200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR CENTRAL PA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1055 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 1998

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

ANOTHER POTENTIALLY VOLATILE WEATHER SITUATION IS SHAPING UP FOR
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
TRACKS EAST TOWARD PENNSYLVANIA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TRACK EAST
ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AFTER
3 PM...AND EAST OF THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AFTER 5 PM. STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A SOUTHWEST WIND WILL BRING INCREASINGLY MOIST UNSTABLE AIR NORTH
ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WHEN
A COLD FRONT REACHES THE UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. ALL PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN
IN TOUCH WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS. A SEVERE
THNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED IF AND WHEN CONDITIONS
BECOME FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER. WARNINGS
WILL BE ISSUED IF AND WHEN SEVERE WEATHER BECOMES IMMINENT OR IS
OBSERVED.

SKYWARN ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

...CORRECTED EXPIRATION TIME...

MSE
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 4:12 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-045-046-030210-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - TORNADO WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
412 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 1998

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL 10 PM...

THE WATCH INCLUDES WARREN...MCKEAN...POTTER...CAMERON...
CLINTON...CLEARFIELD...CENTRE...CAMBRIA...BLAIR...
HUNTINGDON...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...FRANKLIN...AND
FULTON COUNTIES.

ALSO INCLUDED IS TIOGA...LYCOMING...MIFFLIN...AND JUNIATA
COUNTIES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING.
ANY STORMS THAT FORM MAY CONTAIN HAIL...STRONG WINDS...
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND TORNADOES.

PERSONS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR DANGEROUS WEATHER AND WARNINGS...AND SEEK SHELTER
IF SEVERE WEATHER IS SIGHTED...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

MARTIN
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 4:12 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-045-046-030210-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - TORNADO WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
412 PM EDT TUE JUN 2 1998

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL 10 PM...

THE WATCH INCLUDES WARREN...MCKEAN...POTTER...CAMERON...
CLINTON...CLEARFIELD...CENTRE...CAMBRIA...BLAIR...
HUNTINGDON...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...FRANKLIN...AND
FULTON COUNTIES.

ALSO INCLUDED IS TIOGA...LYCOMING...MIFFLIN...AND JUNIATA
COUNTIES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING.
ANY STORMS THAT FORM MAY CONTAIN HAIL...STRONG WINDS...
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND TORNADOES.

PERSONS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR DANGEROUS WEATHER AND WARNINGS...AND SEEK SHELTER
IF SEVERE WEATHER IS SIGHTED...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

MARTIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 2, 4:46 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPDauphin, Northumberland64 min
Jun 2, 4:46 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPSnyder64 min
Jun 2, 5:01 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPUnion59 min
Jun 2, 5:07 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPSchuylkill93 min
Jun 2, 5:10 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPMcKean, Warren95 min
Jun 2, 5:13 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPColumbia, Montour62 min
Jun 2, 5:25 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, York45 min
Jun 2, 5:30 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPSullivan60 min
Jun 2, 5:55 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPPotter75 min
Jun 2, 6:00 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPClearfield, Elk75 min
Jun 2, 6:15 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, York75 min
Jun 2, 6:17 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPLebanon33 min
Jun 2, 6:32 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPDauphin, Northumberland, Schuylkill78 min
Jun 2, 6:39 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPTioga91 min
Jun 2, 6:42 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPSomerset88 min
Jun 2, 7:01 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPClearfield64 min
Jun 2, 7:05 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPBlair, Cambria65 min
Jun 2, 7:23 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPCentre62 min
Jun 2, 7:27 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPBedford78 min
Jun 2, 7:30 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPLancaster, York35 min
Jun 2, 7:33 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPPotter62 min
Jun 2, 7:36 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPTioga94 min
Jun 2, 7:45 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPHuntingdon80 min
Jun 2, 7:50 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPElk65 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 1998Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.