Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1998

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS State College, PA

May 29, 1998Lycoming County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 29, 1998, 4:03 PM EDT for Lycoming County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 97 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 1998, 4:03 PM EDT (20:03 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 1998, 5:40 PM EDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Whole counties

County Lycoming County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 29, 5:00 PM EDTThunderstorm Wind 51Williamsport, PATrees and power lines were blown down.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 29, 2:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 1998-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 24 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 1998-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 72 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
704 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
103 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

748 
WUUS01 KCTP 292002 RRA
SVRCTP
PAC027-035-081-292135-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
403 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CLINTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
  CENTRE COUNTY IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
  LYCOMING COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA

* UNTIL 540 PM EDT

* AT 400 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM KETTLE CREEK RESERVIOR SOUTHWEST
  TO CLEARFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.  THE LINE WILL EXTEND FROM
  NEAR SLATE RUN TO RENOVO TO PHILIPSBURG BETWEEN 410 AND 420 PM.

THIS LINE OF STORMS IS DANGEROUS.  IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH
YOU SHOULD PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...LARGE
HAIL...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.  PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A
SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

DANGELO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 29, 1:50 PM EDT, 2 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 1:50 PM EDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
150 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 1998

...WRKZONES SENT TO PIT/PHL VIA PHLADMCTP...
PIT ZNS AVBL
PHL TO FOLLOW SHORTLY

...DISCUSSION...
VIS SAT PICS INDICATING RAPID TSTM DVLPMT ACROSS WRN NY AND CENT LE
IN ASSOC WITH 5H S/W. SIGNS OF A LINE OF MDT CU/TCU DVLPMENT EXTND
DOWN INTO CENTRAL OH...WHICH SHLD BEGIN TO FIRE AS THEY APPRCH REAL
MUGGY AIR ACROSS E OH AND  W PA. NW FLOW ALFT WL BRING THESE INTO FA
AS PROGGED. AS PER SPC...MAIN SVR THREAT WL BE ACROSS WRN AND NRN PA
WITH DAMAGING WNDS AND HAIL WITH STRONG LL FLOW AND MID LVL COOLING.

ACTIVITY WILL END THIS EVENING AS DRYING TAKES PLACE FROM THE NW
WITH FROPA. CLDS SHLD CLR OUT OF ALL CWA BUT LOWER SUSQ BY 12Z. TMPS
IN NRN AREAS CLD DROP INTO UPPER 40S LOCALLY W/ DIMINISHING N WINDS
AND SFC DRYING...BUT WL REMAIN MUGGY AND WARM ACROSS THE SE.

SAT SHAPING UP TO BE A GREAT DAY. PLENTY O SUNSHINE AND MORE
SEASONABLE TEMPS WILL RETURN...AS SOME WEAK CAA TAKES OVR W/ 8H TMPS
FALLING SOME 2-3C FROM TODAY. ONLY CONCERN WL BE SOME CI BLOWOFF
FROM ANY MCC DVLPMT OVER WRN LAKES/MIDWEST.

HIGH MOVES E AND STRONG SW FLOW TAKES OVER SAT NIGHT AS SFC LOW
BOMBS TO ARND 989MB (WOW) OVER MIDWEST BY 12Z SUN PER NGM...BUT ETA
SOLN (994MB) PREFERRED DUE TO RARITY OF SUCH A SYSTEM IN LATE
MAY/EARLY JUNE AND HANDLE ON MOISTURE PARAMETERS. WARM FRONT PASSES THRU SAT
NIGHT ADVECTING IN REALLY WARM AND HUMID AIR. 8H TEMPS SOAR INTO THE
UPPER TEENS AND NOSE OF THETA-E RIDGE PUSHES ACROSS ACROSS OH VALLEY
INTO SW PA. FEEL THIS WL BE NEXT THREAT FOR SVR WX AS LIS ONCE
AGAIN APPRCH -6...CAPES BETWEEN 500-1000...STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIV.
MCC DVLPMT A POSSIBILITY...ESP INTO NRN CWA INTO NY WHERE DYNAMICS
ARE GREATEST.

SFC WINDS W/ STRNG PRES GRDNT WILL LIKELY EXCEED 20 MPH...SO WILL
LIKELY MENTION WINDS IN NEXT FULL PKG FOR SUN. DESPITE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPS WELL INTO THE 90S...FEEL MID BKN/OVC LAYER DUE TO WAA WILL
LIKELY HOLD MAX TMPS ON SUN IN THE 80S. FEEL FWC GUIDANCE LOOKS OK WITH
MINOR TWEAKING HERE OR THERE.

BOOKBINDER/DANGELO

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 29, 10:50 AM EDT, 5 hours 13 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-300300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT- THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1050 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 1998

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WITH
THESE STORMS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON.  LATER ON...
THE THREAT AREA FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND SOUTHEAST TO INCLUDE
THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY.

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIRMASS WILL COVER CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON... TRIGGERING THE STORMS.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER UPDATES
CONCERNING THE POTENTIALLY SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON.

SKYWARN ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

MARTIN
Special weather statement, May 29, 1:55 PM EDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
300050-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
155 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 1998

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL 8 PM...

THE WATCH INCLUDES WARREN...MCKEAN...POTTER...ELK...
CAMERON...CLINTON...CLEARFIELD...CENTRE...CAMBRIA...
BLAIR...HUNTINGDON...MIFFLIN...JUNIATA...SOMERSET...
BEDFORD...FULTON...AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES.

THE WATCH ALSO INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY...

TIOGA...LYCOMING...SULLIVAN...UNION...SYNDER...MONTOUR...
NORTHUMBERLAND...AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  STORMS ARE LIKELY
TO BECOME SEVERE.  STORMS MAY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

PERSONS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA SHOULD SEEK
SHELTER IF THREATENING WEATHER OCCURS OR A WARNING
IS ISSUED.

MARTIN
Special weather statement, May 29, 1:55 PM EDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
300050-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
155 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 1998

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL 8 PM...

THE WATCH INCLUDES WARREN...MCKEAN...POTTER...ELK...
CAMERON...CLINTON...CLEARFIELD...CENTRE...CAMBRIA...
BLAIR...HUNTINGDON...MIFFLIN...JUNIATA...SOMERSET...
BEDFORD...FULTON...AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES.

THE WATCH ALSO INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY...

TIOGA...LYCOMING...SULLIVAN...UNION...SYNDER...MONTOUR...
NORTHUMBERLAND...AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  STORMS ARE LIKELY
TO BECOME SEVERE.  STORMS MAY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

PERSONS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA SHOULD SEEK
SHELTER IF THREATENING WEATHER OCCURS OR A WARNING
IS ISSUED.

MARTIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 2:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean63 min
May 29, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPPotter62 min
May 29, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPElk61 min
May 29, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Clearfield60 min
May 29, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPTioga64 min
May 29, 4:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton97 min
May 29, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSullivan63 min
May 29, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland64 min
May 29, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPUnion64 min
May 29, 5:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Cambria, Clearfield60 min
May 29, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPHuntingdon65 min
May 29, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSomerset63 min
May 29, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin49 min
May 29, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill61 min
May 29, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Franklin, Perry62 min
May 29, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLebanon63 min
May 29, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin31 min
May 29, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York89 min
May 29, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 1998Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.