Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998
Flash Flood Warning 40, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood warning at Feb 18, 1998, 7:55 AM EST for Union County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 18, 1998, 7:55 AM EST (12:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 18, 1998, 11:55 AM EST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
- Area
- Whole counties
County Union County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1164 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 103 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 TTAA00 KCTP 181255 FFWCTP PAC119-181655- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 755 AM EST WED FEB 18 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1155 AM EST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA ...UNION COUNTY REPORTS OUT OF UNION COUNTY INDICATE THAT ROADS AND SMALL CREEKS CONTINUE TO FLOOD FROM THE HEAVY RAINS THAT FELL LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...BUT RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG BUFFALO CREEK AND ON RTE 44 IN GREG TOWNSHIP IN SPRING GARDENS. WHILE THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MANY STREAMS ARE NEAR OR AT BANK FULL AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL ONLY CAUSE FURTHER PROBLEMS. DO NOT DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. IT IS DIFFICULT TO JUDGE THE DEPTH OF THE WATER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE SWEPT AWAY. LA CORTE &
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 18, 2:15 AM EST, 5 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 2:15 AM EST, 5 hours 40 minutes before
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 215 AM EST WED FEB 18 1998 ...SUGGESTIONS... FFWS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE MID-SUSQUEHANNA BUT BEST FORCING FOR RAIN SHIFTS EAST THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING SO NO NEED FOR ANY WATCHES OVER THE EASTERN PART OF OUR CWA. LIKEWISE PIT CAN LET THE WATCH EXPIRE WITH THIS ZONE ISSUANCE. PRECIP WILL BE RATHER SPOTTY IN NATURE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...SO SHOWERS WORDING MAY WORK BETTER THAN RAIN. CURRENT PITZFP AND PHLZFP ARE BOTH GOING WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER HIS FOR TODAY THAN THE FWCS BUT WITH LOTS OF CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS THAT LOOKS GOOD. ...DISCUSSION... 88-D LOOPS SHOWING HVY RAIN ACROSS THE MID-SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY BEGINNING TO DIMINISH. SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT A MESO-LOW DEVELOPED ALONG THE COASTAL FRONT OVER SE PA...WITH MID 50S DEW PTS IN ITS WARM SECTOR OVER DELAWARE AND EASTERN MD. THE LOW DEVELOPED AS MID-LVL UPWARD VVEL OVERAN AN AREA OF LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COASTAL FRONT IN AN AREA OF GOOD MID-LVL INSTABILITY. 88-D ESTIMATES AND IFLOWS GAGES INDICATE STORM TOTALS OF JUST OVER 2 INCHES IN THE FFW AREA WITH 3 HOUR TOTALS OF JUST OVER AN INCH. MODELS INDICATE A TONQUE OF HIER THETA-E AND LOW-LVL FGEN OVER SE PA PA THIS MORNING PULLING AWAY TO THE EAST BY MID- DAY. ONCE THAT PULLS ANY THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE OVER. AREAS OF LGT RAIN/SHOWERS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS LOTS OF LOW-LVL CYCLONIC FLOW LINGERS BENEATH UPPER TROUGHING ACROSS CENTRAL PA. WOULD RECOMEND CAT POPS OVER THE WESTERN CWA...AND LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE EAST. LOOKS LIKE THE EARLIEST CHC FOR ANY FROZEN PRECIP WONT BE UNTIL AT LEAST THURSDAY NIGHT BASED ON MODEL SOUNDINGS. MSE
The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 12:59 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Northumberland, Snyder, Union | 5 hr |
| Feb 18, 12:59 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Montour | 5 hr |
| Feb 18, 5:53 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Union | 2 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.