Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998
Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood warning at Jan 8, 1998, 10:01 PM EST for Lycoming County, Union County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 8, 1998, 10:01 PM EST (03:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 9, 1998, 4:00 AM EST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
- Area
- Whole counties
Counties Lycoming County, PA, Union County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 239 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 415 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 111 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 TTAA00 KCTP 090302 RRA FFWCTP PAC081-119-090900- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1001 PM EST THU JAN 8 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED THE FLOOD WARNING FOR EASTERN LYCOMING COUNTY AND UNION COUNTY * UNTIL 400 AM EST * EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORT THAT FLOODING CONTINUES AS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS EARLIER TODAY CONTINUE TO CAUSE PROBLEMS. IN EASTERN LYCOMING COUNTY...SEVERAL CREEKS CONTINUE TO RISE IN AND AROUND MUNCY...ROADS ARE CLOSED. IN UNION COUNTY...BUFFALO CREEK IS ALSO RISING WITH SEVERAL ROADS REPORTED CLOSED AS WELL. LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WHEN MORE SHOWERS MAY VISIT THE REGION. AS A RESULT...WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO LEVEL OFF AND START TO RECEDE TOWARD FRIDAY MORNING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. LA CORTE &
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jan 8, 9:00 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 8, 9:00 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute before
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 9 PM EST THU JAN 8 1998 ...ZONE SUGGESTIONS... .PIT...THANKS FOR CALL. CHC POPS OVERNIGHT SHADING WORDING TWD SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATE AT NIGHT VS ALL NIGHT THREAT. HOLD OFF MENTION OF THUNDER TO FRI AM (PERIOD 2) WITH FRONT...THO WUDNT PUT A LOT OF MONEY BETTING ACTIVITY WONT HIT SWRN ZONES BEFORE I WAKE UP TMRW. .PHL...CHC POPS OK FOR REST OF OVERNIGHT. WUD DEFINITELY INCLUDE THUNDER IN WORDING FOR FRI AS INSTABILITY AND FRONT PROVIDE INGREDIENTS FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION. ...DISCUSSION... OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN HASNT CHANGED MUCH. WARM BOUNDARY IS MORE OR LESS STALLED ALONG NY/PA BORDER. MAIN SFC LOW IS TRACKING INTO MID WEST WITH OCCLUSION SWINGING THRU TN VALLEY. BOUNDARY TO THE NORTH MANAGED TO MAKE IT SOUTH OF BFD FOR A TIME...BEFORE MOVING BACK TO THE NORTH OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. COLD FRONT SHUD BE ENTERING THE REGION EARLY FRI JUDGING BY SFC PATTERN AND LIFTED INDEX FIELDS. ETA AND NGM PAINT IMPRESSIVE INSTABILITY IN WARM SECTOR BEFORE FRONT MOVES THRU. ERN SECTIONS DESTABILIZE THE MOST AS FROPA IS SLATED FOR SECOND HALF OF THE DAY. SETUP LOOKS MORE LIKE SUMMER THAN THE DEAD OF WINTER. NO MODEL DOING WELL WITH WINTER CONVECTION. MESO CONVECTIVE LINE MOVING NE OUT OF OHIO LOOKS VERY JUICY ON RADAR BUT WILL SOON BE ENCOUNTERING COOLER AIR AT THE SFC BOUNDARY. NO MODEL PAINTED QPF IN THE AREA WHERE THE STORMS ARE FIRING. LACK OF STRONG LLJ SHUD ASSURE ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. WITH RIVERS RUNNING HIGH..HAVE TO STAY AWARE OF POTENTIAL FOR EVEN JUST A LITTLE MORE RAIN TIPPING SCALES ON POINTS FCST TO CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION GIVEN THE APPROACH OF THE SFC FRONT...AND FINALLY THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER LOW/TROF. SATELLITE SHOWS ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION SURGING NORTH AS UPPER LOW SHOWS SIGNS OF MAKING NORTHWARD MOVE. THIS SHUD BE OUR LOT FRI. IF ANYTHING MAKES IT INTO THE REGION TWD MORNING IT LOOKS TO BE THIS ACTIVITY. REGIONAL RADAR DOES SHOW AN INCREASE IN ACTIVITY OVER TN/KY...WHICH LOOKS TO BE SURGING NORTH AND FOR THE TIME BEING...AIMED AT WRN PA. COULD STILL BE INTERESTING EARLY FRI. LA CORTE
The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2:42 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Warren | 6 hr |
| Jan 9, 3:40 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland | 55 min |
| Jan 9, 4:17 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, York | 63 min |
| Jan 9, 4:44 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lebanon, Schuylkill | 61 min |
| Jan 9, 4:44 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Northumberland | 61 min |
| Jan 9, 5:26 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Sullivan | 6 hr |
| Jan 9, 11:00 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Sullivan | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.