Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
945 AM CST TUE JAN 6 1998

NO CHANGES NEEDED IN MORNING UPDATE.
WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER S/W JUST WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE CONCURRENT
WITH 12Z ETA MODEL...MVG EAST.  SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS PAC FNTL BNRY JUST
WEST OF LRD-E JCT LINE ALSO MVG EAST.  CRP/DFX 88DS BOTH SHOW ONE
LARGE PRECIP CELL DVLPG JUST WEST OF WEBB COUNTY ALG THE LEADING EDGE
OF PAC FNTL BNDRY.  THIS STORM HAS WK ROTATIONAL SIGNATURE AND WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS IT MVS SLOWLY NE.  LOOKS LIKE THIS CELL COULD
SKIRT JUST N OF OUR CWA.  OTHER WIDELY SCT PRECIP ECHOS WERE MVG NWD
IN UNIFORM SLY FLOW.

AMS ACROSS THE REGION IS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.  PWS 1.50 INCHES AND LIS -7.  MAIN DYNAMICS WILL MV ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTN WITH PRECIP FOCUSED ALG SFC-H85 BNDRY ENHANCED BY
STGLY TILTED UPPER TROF (PVA).  MAIN PRECIP AREA WILL OCCUR ALG A
SAT-HOU LINE WHERE FFA AND BEST MOISTURE ADV EXISTS.

FCST HAS 50-60% POPS IN FOR OUR AREA TDY WHICH LOOKS GOOD.  COULD BE
A FEW ISOLATED SVR STORMS IF WEBB CNTY STORM HOLDS TOGETHER.  WILL
MAKE NO CHANGES TO ZONES THIS MORNING.

JM....075

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