Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
220 PM EDT THU APR 22 1998

LATEST ANYL SHOWS SFC LO OFF THE NE CST OF SC WITH TROF EXTNDNG WWRD
INTO NW SC. SAT PIX AND RADAR SHOW SCT PCPN IN NW SC WITH ISOLD SHOWERS
DEVLPING IN SRN HALF OF CWA THIS AFTN. TEMPS GOT A BOOST A FEW DEGS
WITH ERLY AFTN SUN...PRETTY MUCH TOPPED OUT AS CLDS EXPCTD TO CONT TO
INCRS ACRS THE SE THIS AFTN. SCT SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS ALSO EXPCTD
THRU LATE EVE.
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT...EVEN SUSPECT ETA...WITH HANDLE OF CURR
SYS. 5H LO LIFTS OUT OF THE TENN VLY TO THE NE AS PEAK OF 5H VORT LOBE
CROSSES ALONG THE GULF CST OVERNITE AND IS ALIGNED NE/SW JUST OFFSHORE
BY ERLY THU AFTN. SFC LO WL CONT TO MOVE TO THE NE AS HI BLDS IN FROM
THE W BEHIND IT. PCPTBLE H2O AOA 1.1 INCH REMAINS ALONG THE CST INTO
ERLY THU AND BEGINS TO DRY OUT FROM THE W BY SECOND HALF OF THUR. SOME
RESIDUAL WRAP AROUND MSTR INDICATED BUT BLV IT WILL POSE MORE OF A PROB
FOR UPPER HALF OF STATE FOR LATE THU. INCRS IN CLDS TONIGHT FOR ENTIRE
CWA WITH SCT POPS INTO THU. EXPCT SRN HALF OF CWA TO DECLINE IN POPS BY
THU AFTN WITH MORE SUN. INCRS IN SUNSHINE FOR SC PORTION BY LATE AFTN
WITH LINGERING SCT POPS. WILL LEAN TOWARD WARMER FWC DAYTIME HIGHS AS
WELL AS OVRNITE LOWS WITH WINDS AND DWPTS RUNNING CLOSE TO NGM NUMBERS.
FOR CWF...WITH CURR CONDS AND REVIEW WITH ILM...AM INCLINED TO GO A BIT
BLO CURR FCST AND DROP ANY HEADERS. WITH OFFSHORE FLO WILL SEE A RANGE
FROM CLOSE TO FURTHER OFFSHORE...WITH OFFSHORE IN 5 FT RANGE. COULD SEE
SOME PDS OF WRLY BUT FOR THE MOST PART NW AS LO MOVES TO THE NE. BIT OF
A REINFORCING TROF ON THU WHICH COULD GIVE A BRIEF NW SURGE...BUT ATTIM
WILL MAINTAIN BLO SCA W/SEAS AT 5 FT FURTHER OFF THEN AS WELL.

CHS ARPT  EB  50/72/50/74  4411
CHS CITY      54/70/53/72
SAV ARPT  EB  50/72/50/75  3311

S CST
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PCNT CHC OF SHOWERS/ FEW TSTMS. LOW
50-55. NW WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THU...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PCNT CHC OF SHOWERS/ FEW TSTMS. INCRSING
SUN (ESP S) FOR LATE AFTN. HIGHS LWR 70S. NW WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THU NIGHT...P/CLDY. LOWS AROUND 50.
.FRI...P/CLDY. HIGHS 70-75.

MJR