Flash Flood Warning 9, NWS Burlington, VT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
215 PM EST THU JAN 8 1998

COORD ALY. WILL KEEP WINTER STORM WARNING FOR CHAMP/ST LAW
VLY/ADIRONDACKS...AND VT COUNTIES BORDERING CANADA. SEVERE ICING
MAINLY BELOW 1000 FT ELEVATIONS.

MOST OF NE/NC VT ABOVE FREEZING WITH ONLY LOCALLIZED POCKETS OF
ICING HAVE BEEN REPORTED...IE...EFK. BECAUSE OF UNCERTAINTY AND LACK
OF DATA FROM EFK TO CANAAN WILL PLAY IT SAFE AND LEAVE IT UP.

FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN UP FOR MOST ALL CWA EXCEPT GRAND ISLE VT AND
FRANKLIN NY AND ST. LAW NY.

MANY REPORTS OF FLOODING WITH MOST SEVERE ALONG AUSABLE AND SARANAC
RIVERS WITH SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEARING 3. IN VERMONT
MAINLY SMALL STREAM FLOODING BUT EXPECT MAINSTEM FLOODING OVERNIGHT
AND FRIDAY.

AS MENTIONED EARLIER 850 FGEN INDUCED LIFT CONTINUE TO KEEP PRECIP
GOING WITH MOD RAIN ON THE AVERAGE...SOME POCKET OF +RA NOTED ON OBS
AND RADARS. QPS NEXT 24 HOURS UP TO ALMOST 1.5. ISENTROPIC LIFT
STAYS STRONG ON 290K SFC THROUGH 06Z THEN A BREAK BEFORE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE BRINGS 6-9HR PERIOD OF MOD RAIN 12Z-21Z TOMORROW. COULD
EVEN BE +TSHRA WITH UNSTABLE AIRMASS LIFTED OVER COLD LOW LEVELS.
THAT OF COURSE COULD ADD TO THE RAINFALL TOTALS EVEN MORE.
IN FACT MOS TSTM POPS OVER 40 WHICH SEEMS UNBELIEVABLE FOR JAN

THEN A WSW FLOW TAKES OVER WITH DRYING TOMORROW NIGHT AND MUCH OF
SATURDAY...CHANCE OF -SHSN LATE SAT/SAT EVEN AS ANOTHER FRONT/TROF
SWINGS THROUGH.

MOS TEMPS LOOK MUCH TOO WARM FOR BTV...FAN MUCH BETTER..BUT PROBABLY
STILL HIGH.

SISSON

NYZ026>031-034-035-VTZ001>012-082310-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
204 PM EST THU JAN 8 1998

...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SEVERE ICING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN VERMONT THROUGH TONIGHT...
...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ICING IN SOUTHERN VERMONT HAS
EXPIRED...

PERSISTENT MODERATE FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ST
LAWRENCE AND NORTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEYS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND
NORTHWESTERN VERMONT FROM BURLINGTON NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

A STATE OF EMERGENCY CONTINUES IN ST
LAWRENCE...FRANKLIN...CLINTON...AND ESSEX COUNTIES OF NEW YORK WHERE
ICE ACCUMULATIONS SINCE YESTERDAY HAVE EXCEEDED 1 INCH.  TOTAL
ICE ACCUMULATION THIS WEEK IN SOME AREAS NOW EXCEEDS 2 1/2 INCHES.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AND
MAY WORSEN FURTHER DURING THE AFTERNOON IN THE ABOVE AREAS AS MORE
TREES AND POWER LINES SUCCUMB TO THE WEIGHT OF ADDED ICE. ELECTRIC
POWER AND TELEPHONE TRANSMISSION HAS BEEN DISRUPTED IN MANY AREAS.
EMERGENCY SHELTERS HAVE BEEN ESTABLISHED FOR RESIDENTS
WITHOUT POWER...WATER...AND HEAT.  AUTHORITIES DISCOURAGE OR HAVE
PROHIBITED TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA.

ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA TEMPERATURES REMAIN JUST ABOVE
FREEZING IN MANY AREAS...ALTHOUGH RAINFALL MAY BE LOCALLY FREEZING
IN DEEPEST VALLEYS ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER OF VERMONT AND AT SOME
HILLSIDE LOCATIONS IN THE CENTRAL GREEN MOUNTAINS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS ICE STORM.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB SITE AT
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/BTV/.

BELL

NYZ026>031-034-035-VTZ001>012-082310-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
204 PM EST THU JAN 8 1998

...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SEVERE ICING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN VERMONT THROUGH TONIGHT...
...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ICING IN SOUTHERN VERMONT HAS
EXPIRED...

PERSISTENT MODERATE FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ST
LAWRENCE AND NORTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEYS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND
NORTHWESTERN VERMONT FROM BURLINGTON NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

A STATE OF EMERGENCY CONTINUES IN ST
LAWRENCE...FRANKLIN...CLINTON...AND ESSEX COUNTIES OF NEW YORK WHERE
ICE ACCUMULATIONS SINCE YESTERDAY HAVE EXCEEDED 1 INCH.  TOTAL
ICE ACCUMULATION THIS WEEK IN SOME AREAS NOW EXCEEDS 2 1/2 INCHES.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AND
MAY WORSEN FURTHER DURING THE AFTERNOON IN THE ABOVE AREAS AS MORE
TREES AND POWER LINES SUCCUMB TO THE WEIGHT OF ADDED ICE. ELECTRIC
POWER AND TELEPHONE TRANSMISSION HAS BEEN DISRUPTED IN MANY AREAS.
EMERGENCY SHELTERS HAVE BEEN ESTABLISHED FOR RESIDENTS
WITHOUT POWER...WATER...AND HEAT.  AUTHORITIES DISCOURAGE OR HAVE
PROHIBITED TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA.

ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA TEMPERATURES REMAIN JUST ABOVE
FREEZING IN MANY AREAS...ALTHOUGH RAINFALL MAY BE LOCALLY FREEZING
IN DEEPEST VALLEYS ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER OF VERMONT AND AT SOME
HILLSIDE LOCATIONS IN THE CENTRAL GREEN MOUNTAINS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR COMMERCIAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS ICE STORM.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB SITE AT
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/BTV/.

BELL

NYZ026>031-034-035-VTZ001>010-090310-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
409 PM EST THU JAN 8 1998

...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SEVERE ICING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND PARTS OF NORTHERN VERMONT THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED WINTER STORM WARNINGS
FOR LAMOILLE...WASHINGTON...CALEDONIA AND ORANGE COUNTIES OF VERMONT.
ICING IN THESE COUNTIES WILL BE LIMITED TO ISOLATED POCKETS WITH MOST
AREAS ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK.

FREEZING RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ST
LAWRENCE AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEYS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHWESTERN
VERMONT TONIGHT.  PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVIEST UNTIL JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT THEN TAPER OFF TO LIGHT PRECIPITATION UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
DURING FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON MORE STEADY PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED.

ALL UNNECESSARY TRAVEL SHOULD BE POSTPONED UNTIL THE WEATHER AND
ROAD CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

TUNE TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OR COMMERCIAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS ICE
STORM.

SISSON
SISSON