Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998
Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Brownsville, TX
NWS Brownsville, TX issued this flash flood warning at Oct 13, 1998, 6:49 AM CDT for Kenedy County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 13, 1998, 6:49 AM CDT (11:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 13, 1998, 9:50 AM CDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Brownsville, TX
- Area
- Whole counties
County Kenedy County, TX
The radar
The Corpus Christi radar (KCRP), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1812 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -11 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 862 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -5 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 TTAA00 KBRO 131148 FFWBRO TXC261-131450- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 649 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN KENEDY COUNTY IN SOUTHERN TEXAS * UNTIL 950 AM CDT * AT 645 AM CDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF KENEDY COUNTY... MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWEST. * THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN KENEDY COUNTY. DON'T DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADS! MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. SPEECE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 13, 2:45 AM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 2:45 AM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION FOR CCF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 245 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 1998 CURRENT KBRO REFLECTIVITY SHOWS ISOLD TO SCT CONV EXTENDING N-S ALONG THE TEX/MEX COAST MOVING W-SW AT 15 MPH. THIS ACTIVITY IS EBBEDED IN AN AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE CENTERED OVER CENTRAL MEX AND SOUTHERN TX. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT DESPITE THE OVERALL 5H RIDGING CENTERED OVER THE STATE...A COUPLE OF VORT MAXES PERSIST OVER THE AREA WHICH IS INITIATING THE CONV. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND THE AFTERNOON SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARIES TO MAINTAIN THE CONV POTENTIAL TODAY. MODEL GUIDANCE EVENTUALLY DRYS OUT THE ATMS OVER THE REGION AFTER 24 HRS AND THIS IS ACCORDINGLY REFLECTED IN THE FWC AND FAN POP GUIDANCE. CLD COVER AND HIGH MOISTURE VALUES WILL HOLD DOWN TEMPS TO NEAR FWC AND FAN GUIDANCE. WILL ALSO FOLLOW FWC WIND GUIDANCE WITH AN E-NE SURFACE PERSISTING. HIGH SURFACE MOISTURE VALUES (THE RESULT OF TODAYS DOWNPOURS) AND THIS MORNINGS LIGHT WINDS WILL ALSO MAINTAIN FOG POTENTIAL ATTM. FOR TXZ248>255... .TODAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 % CHC FOR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF EARLY MORNING FOG POSSIBLE. LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO NEAR 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 % CHC FOR EVENING SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. A LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND. .WED...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF EARLY MORNING FOG POSSIBLE. A LIGHT EAST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. EXTENDED...MRF GUIDANCE BRINGS A FAIRLY STRONG SURFACE FRONT INTO CENTRAL TX FOCUSING THE CONV POTENTIAL THERE ON FRI/SAT. WILL LIKELY NOT PENETRATE FAR ENUF SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN TX TO INCREASE CONV POTENTIAL GREATLY HERE. HOWEVER...THIS SITUATION WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS CONV BOUNDARIES MAY BE THE FLY IN THE OINTMENT FOR HIGHER CONV POTENTIAL THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. ACCORDINGLY...MOST OF THE EXTENDED WORDING LOOKS GOOD WITH A MENTION OF A SLGT CHC OF CONV FOR THE CWA ON SAT. HOWEVER...WOULD LIKE TO MAKE ONE CHANGE TO THE WORDING. SINCE THE PGF WILL BE INCREASING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT...WOULD LIKE TO INCLUDE A MENTION OF WINDY CONDITIONS FOR THUR-SAT. CWF...BOUNDARY LAYER WIND PROGS INDICATES E-NE FLOW AT 10 TO 15 KT OVER THE WESTERN GULF PERSISTING THROUGH THE PERIOD. FOR WORDING...TODAY...E WIND 15 KT...SHIFTING TO THE NE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. WED...NE WIND 10 KT WITH GUSTS TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. BRO BB 088/067 088/067 089 30/20/00 MFE BB 090/066 090/066 091 30/20/00 RGC BB 094/065 094/065 095 30/20/00 SPI BB 085/074 085/074 086 30/20/00 60
The office that day
Everything else NWS Brownsville, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 7:47 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | BRO | Willacy | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.