Tornado Warning 18, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
230 PM EDT WED AUG 26 1998

WHAT DO YOU DO WITH WHEN AN UNWANTED GUEST DOESN/T WANT TO LEAVE?

BONNIE HAS A MIND OF HER OWN AND CONTS TO GIVE EAST COAST FCSTRS
FITS. IT LOOKS AS THO WESTERLIES HV LIFTED N WITH MID LVL TROF PER
LTST WTR VPR LOOP LEAVING BONNIE TO DRIFT ARND ERN NC IN THE SHORT
TERM. MAIN RAIN SHIELD NOW ENTERING NE NC COUNTIES. MHX 88D LOOP
BEGINNING TO SHOW DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AS CNVTV BANDS ROTATE CCW THRU
EASTERN NC. THESE BANDS REMINDS US OF THE SMALL SCALE CIRCULATIONS THAT
SPAWNED WEAK TORNADOES IN ERN VA WITH BERTHA IN 96. SO AS BONNIE
TRANSITIONS TO A LANDFALL HURRICANE...THE THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS DECREASES BUT THE HVY RAIN...CSTL FLOOD (DUE PROLONGED ONSHORE
FLOW THRU SEVERAL TIDE CYCLES) AND ISOLATED TORNADO THREATS INCREASE.

AS FAR AS SENSIBLE WEATHER GOES...RAINY AND WINDY CONDS WILL SPREAD
NWD TNT INTO MUCH OF AKQ FA AND CONT INTO EARLY THURS. NOT EXPECTG
PROLONGED PERIOD OF HIGH SUSTAINED WINDS BUT CUD SEE STG WIND GUSTS
(>50KTS) IN SQUALLS. HVY RN LIKELY WITH MANY AREAS EXCEEDING ONE INCH
AMOUNT TOTALS AND THINKING IS 3+ INCH AMOUNTS MAY BE COMMON.

BEYOND 24 HOURS...WE FAVOR SLOW SOLN CLOSER TO ETA/AVN THAN SPEEDY
NGM WHICH ALREADY SHOWING POSN ERRORS AT THIS EARLY STAGE.

CWF: WL NEED TO AWAIT LATEST TPC ADVISORY. HEAVY SWELL SHUD MAINTAIN
THRU THURS SO PROB NOT MUCH PLEASUE BOATING GOING ON ANYWAY.

RIC 71/86/69/88 5443     SBY 70/86/68/85 5443
ORF 75/84/73/86 6543     ECG 74/86/72/85 6543 20

CULLEN

VAZ099-MDZ023>025-261900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
112 PM EDT WED AUG 26 1998

AT 100 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A BAND
OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM
THE EASTERN PART OF THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE INTO
ACCOMACK COUNTY VIRGINIA. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXTENDED
FROM AROUND OCEAN CITY AND BERLIN MARYLAND TO ABOUT 15 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WALLOPS ISLAND VIRGINIA. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTH 25 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM RADAR ESTIMATES AVERAGED 0.50 TO
0.75 INCH SINCE NOON...AND AN ADDITIONAL 0.50 TO POSSIBLY
1.00 INCH IS EXPECTED ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH 215 PM.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING HOURS.

REMAIN ALERT TO ENCOUNTERING SUDDEN VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WHILE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS
POSSIBLE.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE FREQUENT
UPDATES THROUGH TIMELY STATEMENTS...NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OUR
WORLD WIDE WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/AKQ/

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NCZ012>017-030>032-102-ANZ633-658-270900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
445 PM EDT WED AUG 26 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #804
FOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL 5 AM THURSDAY MORNING. THE
WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTH CAROLINA
  NORTHAMPTON NC...HERTFORD...BERTIE...GATES...CHOWAN...PERQUIMANS
  ...PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...MAINLAND CURRITUCK...OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK

ALSO INCLUDED ARE THE:
  ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM VA-NC BORDER TO CURRITUCK LIGHT
  ...CURRITUCK SOUND

SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IN THE COUNTIES MENTIONED ABOVE.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

ADVANCED PLANNING DURING A WATCH IS ESSENTIAL. PERSONS SHOULD KNOW
WHERE TO GO AND WHAT TO DO IN THE EVENT A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND ASK THEM TO RELAY
YOUR INFORMATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE FREQUENT
UPDATES THROUGH TIMELY STATEMENTS...NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OUR
WORLD WIDE WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/AKQ/

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NCZ012>017-030>032-102-ANZ633-658-270900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
445 PM EDT WED AUG 26 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #804
FOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL 5 AM THURSDAY MORNING. THE
WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTH CAROLINA
  NORTHAMPTON NC...HERTFORD...BERTIE...GATES...CHOWAN...PERQUIMANS
  ...PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...MAINLAND CURRITUCK...OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK

ALSO INCLUDED ARE THE:
  ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM VA-NC BORDER TO CURRITUCK LIGHT
  ...CURRITUCK SOUND

SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IN THE COUNTIES MENTIONED ABOVE.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

ADVANCED PLANNING DURING A WATCH IS ESSENTIAL. PERSONS SHOULD KNOW
WHERE TO GO AND WHAT TO DO IN THE EVENT A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND ASK THEM TO RELAY
YOUR INFORMATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE FREQUENT
UPDATES THROUGH TIMELY STATEMENTS...NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OUR
WORLD WIDE WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/AKQ/

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