Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1997

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 97, NWS Tucson, AZ

September 4, 1997Pima County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 4, 1997, 2:44 PM MST for Pima County, Arizona. It was in force for 91 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 4, 1997, 2:44 PM MST (21:44 UTC)
Expired
Sep 4, 1997, 4:15 PM MST
In force
91 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties

County Pima County, AZ

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1997-09-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 69 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1997-09-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -38 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-222 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2446 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUS 042146 RRA
SVRTUS
AZC019-042315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
244 PM MST THU SEP 4 1997

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON AZ HAS ISSUED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM MST FOR PEOPLE IN THE
FOLLOWING LOCATION...

IN SOUTHERN ARIZONA

   ...CENTRAL AND WESTERN PIMA COUNTY
 
AT 238 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A PAIR OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...ONE 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF SELLS AND THE SECOND ONE
5 MILES NORTH OF ORGAN PIPE NATIONAL MONUMENT. MOVEMENT OF THESE
STORMS IS TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. THESE STORMS ARE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN. LOCAL AREAS OF BLOWING DUST IS LIKELY ON HIGHWAY 85 BETWEEN
AJO AND LUKEVILLE AND ALSO ON HIGHWAY 86 NORTHWEST OF SELLS.
 
GLUECK/TOWLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 4, 2:30 PM MST, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 4, 2:30 PM MST, 14 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 PM MST THU SEP 4 1997

ISOLD TSTMS DVLPG ACRS PARTS OF CWFA THIS AFTN..MNLY W OF TUS
WHERE THE DEEPEST MSTR IS AT..BUT NOT AS IMPRSV AS I THOUGHT THEY
WOULD BE EARLIER THIS MRNG ACRS ERN ZONES. BUT TIME WL TELL.

SEEMS THAT ERN ZONES STILL FIGHTING WITH DRY LOW-LVLS ALTHO THEY
ARE MORE MOIST THAN PAST SVRL DAYS. ALL SIGNS THOU POINT TO AN
INCR IN ACTVTY..ESPCLY E OF TUS..WHICH HAS BEEN RATHER CVNTN FREE
PAST 3-4 DAYS. DEFINETELY TWO DIFFERENT THREATS TO DEAL WITH
TNGT. PW VALUES W OF TUS(LOOKING AT YUM/PHX 12Z SNDGS) ABT 50%
MORE THAN FM TUS E (LOOKING AT 12Z TUS/EPZ SNDGS). STGST STORMS
AS OF 2130Z IS W OF TUS WHERE THE DEEPEST MSTR IS AT. SOMEWHAT
DRIER AMS FM TUS E...WITH INVERTED-V SNDG LIKELY ON 00Z RELEASE
WITH POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS WINDS. LCLY HVY RNFL THE
MAIN CULPRIT W OF TUS. WL WORD ZNS THIS WAY. 12Z H5 PLOT SHOWS
COOL POOL ACRS MOST OF NM..WHICH MAY MOVE WWD INTO ERN AZ TNGT
THUS DSTBLZG AMS EVEN FURTHER. FAIRLY DEEP E-SELY WL ALLOW TSTMS
TO PROPAGATE WWD..BUT HOW FAR WEST? WL KP ACTVTY GOING WRN ZN26
TIL THE EARLY MRNG HRS.

WL GO WITH STANDARD MONSOON FCSTS FRI/SAT WITH TEMPS A TAD COOLR
DUE TO MORE CLDS/MSTR. TUS 4232. GLUECK

TUS...NONE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 4, 11:47 AM MST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
AZZ019-026>030-042300-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1145 AM MST THU SEP 4 1997...THIS PRODUCT IS NOT UPDATED

...MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN COUNTIES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

                AREAL    PROBABILITY   RAIN GREATER THAN   STORM
              COVERAGE    OF SEVERE     1.00       2.00    MOTION

COCHISE          30          50          30          0      W 15
GRAHAM           30          50          30          0     NW 15
GREENLEE         35          40          30          0      W 12
TUCSON/ERN PIMA  25          50          25          0     NW 15
TOHONO OODHAM   30          35          45         15     NW 12
WESTERN PIMA     25          25          40         15     NW 12
SOUTHEAST PINAL  25          35          35         10     NW 15
SANTA CRUZ       30          50          30         10     NW 15

SYNOPSIS...A SLOW INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM THE EAST WILL LEAD
TO AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORMS FOR EASTERN AREAS TODAY. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BECOME QUITE STRONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE AS MUCH OF
A PROBLEM WITH TOTALS GENERALLY REMAINING BELOW .75 OF AN INCH.
SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE NOTED IN WESTERN PORTIONS
TODAY...AND WHILE THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS
STRONG ON THE WHOLE...THEY MAY HAVE A LITTLE MORE RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THEM.

*****************************************************************
KEY...
AREAL COVERAGE - PERCENT OF COUNTY OR AREA THAT WILL EXPERIENCE
                  THUNDERSTORMS
PROB OF SEVERE - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  REACH SEVERE LEVELS (DAMAGING WIND AND/OR
                  LARGE HAIL)
RAIN GRTR THAN - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  PRODUCE RAIN EXCEEDING 1 INCH OR 2 INCHES IN
                  ANY LOCATION
STORM MOTION   - GENERAL DIRECTION TO WHICH THE STORMS WILL
                  LIKELY MOVE AND SPEED IN MPH

NOTE...
VALID TIME IS FROM 12 NOON TO 12 MIDNIGHT OF THE DAY OF ISSUANCE

THIS PRODUCT IS NOT TO BE USED IN PLACE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS OR WATCHES. THIS PRODUCT IS ONLY USED FOR
OUTLOOK PURPOSES.

END/GLUECK

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 1997Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1997

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.