Severe Thunderstorm Warning 228, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
210 PM CDT THU JUL 3 1997

18Z SURFACE MAP SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS WITH A BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS INTO THE
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE.  ETA AND NGM IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT THAT THE
LOW WILL MOVE EAST AND PHASE WITH THE FRONT AS FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO CENTRAL PLAINS SHORTWAVE.  HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR TOMORROW AND SATURDAY BRINGING DRY
WEATHER AND SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES.  THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ALONG BOUNDARY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND PUSH SOUTHEAST INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES.  SOME SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE
AS WINDS FIELDS WILL BE RELATIVELY STRONG FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND
LARGE CAPE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.  MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BUT PER SPC OUTLOOK WIND FIELD MAY SUPPORT
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS.  WILL GO LESSER CHANCES AND LEAVE OUT MENTION
FOR SEVERE FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS
DYNAMICS WILL BE WELL TO THE NORTH...THE FRONT WILL ARRIVE WELL
AFTER DARK AND CAP MAY BE STRONGER.  GOING FORECAST HANDLES THE
SITUATION WELL AND PROBABLY WILL NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES.  FWC
NUMBERS LOOK REASONABLE AND PROBABLY WILL ONLY TWEAK SLIGHTLY.

TUL 065/085 063/087 064 5000
FSM 070/086 063/087 064 3000
MLC 070/086 063/088 065 3000
BVO 063/084 061/086 062 5000
FYV 065/081 056/082 059 5000
IDB 073/088 065/088 066 2200
BYV 065/080 055/082 058 5000

.TUL...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

ABBAS