Flash Flood Warning 64, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
933 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 1997

CONVECTION CONTS ACRS SRN AR AND SE OK IN RESPONSE TO S/WV MOVG THRU
THE NRN HALF OF THE CWA. WITH DYNAMICS WEAK ACRS SRN PORTIONS WUD NOT
EXPECT ACTIVITY AS WIDESPREAD THERE BY LATE THIS MRNG. SRN PORTIONS
SHUD ONLY SEE AFTN ACTIVITY IN RESPONSE TO SEA BREEZE MOVG INLAND. SOME
INTERACTION IS EXPECTED WITH S/WV BUT NOT ENUF TO INDUCE SVR WX.
NEW ETA MOVS MOST ACTIVE PORTION OF S/WV E OF THE CWA BY TONIGHT WITH
RDG BUILDG ACRS PARTS OF E TX BY EVNG. RUC ALSO INDICATED SOME WARMING
IN THE MID LVLS WHICH SHUD CAP E TX BY MID AFTN.

ATTM DO NOT SEE MUCH REASON TO MAKE ANY SIG CHANGES TO GOING FCSTS...
HWVR WILL NEED TO LOOK AT POSSIBLE LOWERING POPS SLIGHTLY ACRS NRN LA
AND NE TX IF CONVECTION DOES NOT DVLP THOSE AREAS BY ARND NOON.

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ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-291600-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1000 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 1997

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS
THE FOUR STATE REGION TODAY. A MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS ACROSS
THE AREA AS WELL. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND DEVELOP DURING THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA.

WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT REMAINING TO THE NORTH OF
THE FOUR STATE REGION TODAY...ORGANIZED AREAS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE
BRIEF GUSTY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE AREA PRODUCING
BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AS WELL.

THE ACTIVATION OF SEVERE STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

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