Severe Thunderstorm Warning 398, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 1997

AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FIRED UP ONCE AGAIN NEAR THE WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE RED RIVER. STORMS DEVELOPED EARLIER OVER
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA NEAR THE 850MB FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND IN THE VICINITY
OF A 500 MB VORT MAX. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE NORTHERN OK STORMS HAVE
WEAKENED AND DISSIPATED. TEMPERATURES VARY QUITE A BIT ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOW 80S OVER THE NORTH AND AROUND
100 DEGS IN THE SOUTHWEST.

WILL GO WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY COVER TONIGHT. WITH DECENT LOW AND MID
LEVEL MOISTURE PROGGED TO STAY OVER THE AREA...WILL CARRY AT LEAST
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TONIGHT. HOWEVER WILL CARRY THE HIGHEST POPS
OVER THE SOUTHEAST...CLOSE TO THE SURFACE BOUNDARY AND THE 500 MB
SHORTWAVE THAT IS MOVING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EDGE OF THE UPPER RIDGE
PARKED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. UPPER 60S TO MID 70S SHOULD DO FOR
MINS TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE LOW POPS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH 850 MB
BOUNDARY AND DECENT MOISTURE OVER THE AREA. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
INTO THURSDAY...DRIER AIR PUSHES SOUTHWARD AS SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL U.S.

WARMUP KICKS BACK IN DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW RETURNING AS LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS . WILL BRING IN SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS IN ON SUNDAY.

NOT MUCH DIFFERENCE IN NGM AND AVN MOS TEMPS AND DIDN'T DEVIATE MUCH
FROM THEM. POPS ARE GENERALLY HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE FOR TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

FCSTID = 17/MMT
OKC   71  86  69  89 /  30  20   0   0
HBR   73  87  69  91 /  20  20  10  10
SPS   74  92  72  93 /  20  30  10  10
GAG   68  85  65  89 /  30  20  10  10
PNC   72  86  70  91 /  30  20   04   0
DUA   75  90  72  90 /  40  30  10  10

.OKC...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.