Severe Thunderstorm Warning 226, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
300 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 1997

12Z UA DATA INDICATES MID TO UPPER RIDGE OVR THE SOUTH CNTRL US STILL
IN PLACE WITH HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE SFC CENTERED OVR THE LOWER MS
VAL AND ADJACENT GULF. WEST OF THE HIGH WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES
TO MAINTAIN GRADUAL INCREASE IN LOW LEVL MOISTURE OVR EASTERN TX AND
WESTERN LA SPREADING EASTWARD NEAR THE CST MAINLY WITH WEAK
SEABREEZES DURING THE LATE AFT HRS. WITH HIGH STILL TO THE WEST
EXPECT MAINLY WEAK AFT SEABREEZES TO CONTINUE THRU SAT LIMITING ANY
SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVL MOISTURE RETURN. LATEST ETA AND AVN MODELS
DEPICT SIGNIFICANT S/W TO MOVE INTO THE TN VAL BY 36 HRS ALLOWING
DEEPER MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE
BY SAT AFT. THIS MOISTURE WILL SPREAD SOUTH MAINLY IN THE FORM OF MID
TO HIGH CLDS BY LATE SAT CONTINUING EARLY SUNDAY. LATER IN THE PD
HIGH PRESSURE OVR THE LOWER MS VAL WILL DRIFT EAST INCREASING THE
CHANCE FOR EARLIER SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS AND BETTER MOISTURE RETURN.
WILL STAY WITH CURRENT FCST.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH THE
RETURN OF WEAK SEABREEZES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EACH AFT. SEpAS 1 FT
WITH SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP CONDITIONS IN PROTECTED WATERS.

MOB 72/93/72/93 1213  PNS 73/94/73/94 1213
DTS 73/92/73/92 1212  EVR 72/95/72/95 1212 32