Severe Thunderstorm Warning 102, NWS Jackson, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1040 AM EDT MON JUL 28 1997

WILL BE UPDATING THE FOOTHILLS NW OF JKL TO INCLUDE THEM IN THE HEAT
ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES RUNNING ABOUT 2 DEGREES AHEAD
OF THIS TIME YESTERDAY AND NEAR OR EVEN A LITTLE ABOVE WARMER FWC
GUIDANCE. 14Z READINGS MOSTLY BETWEEN 80-85 WHILE DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 70S. BUMPING HIGHS INTO THE MIDDLE 90S ALONG AND NW OF A LOZ TO
HTS CORRIDOR AND EXPECT DEWPOINTS TO STAY NEAR 75 AS SW WINDS 5-10 MPH
DRAWS IN REAL MOIST AIR OVER WESTERN PARTS OF KY/TN. HEAT INDICES TO
ELEVATE BETWEEN 105-110.

WILL ALSO INCREASE 30 POPS AREAS N OF JKL TO 50 POPS FOR THUNDERSTORMS
CLOSER TO APPROACHING COLD FRONT CUTTING INTO CENTRAL IN/OH AND TO
REACH ALONG I-64 BY 2Z. MODIFIED 12Z ILN/BNA SOUNDINGS WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 90S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S GAVE LIFTED INDICES OF MINUS
10...CAPES OF 5500 J/KG...TT IN THE LOWER 50S...K INDEX OF 37 AND PW
OF 1.9-2.0 INCHES WITH LIMITED CAP AND LITTLE VEERING OF UPPER LEVEL
WINDS. WITH SUCH HIGH INSTABILITY...EXPECT A FEW STORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
ESPECIALLY N OF THE DANIEL BOONE PARKWAY/HIGHWAY 80 CLOSER TO FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.

JKL  92/67/84  551
LOZ  95/69/86  451

HUETTL

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-282200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1205 PM EDT MON JUL 28 1 1997

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO INCLUDE ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY
THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE CITIES INCLUDED IN THE THREAT AREA
ARE...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...MOREHEAD...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MIDDLESBORO...JACKSON...HAZARD...PAINTSVILLE AND PIKEVILLE.

A STRONG COLD FRONT POSITIONED OVER CENTRAL INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO
WILL ADVANCE SOUTH THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY LATE THIS EVENING AND
EARLY OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRE UP ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AFTER 230 PM EDT...THEN DIMINISH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE EASTBOUND STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
WITH A FEW STORMS PRODUCING UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. DAMAGING WINDS
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MAY REQUEST THE ACTIVATION OF SPOTTERS
AND/OR HAM RADIO OPERATORS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS IS
ONLY A PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK. STAY TUNED TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA SOURCES FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON
THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

HUETTL